Archived Topic
Topic ID 816
21/07/2005 by smileyoriley
Violence in Herts
I heard on Anglia news this morning that violence in the Hertfordshire area has risen by 33% compared with area such as Beds rising only 14%.
Have to admit I was suprised that it has surpassed other areas this much. Anyone else hear similar?
0 replies
Archived Replies
Reply ID 9000
21/07/2005 by Steve
Yes, this figure is correct.
You can get the details from the Home Office website, where there's a section on Crime...
http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/rds/crimeew0405.html
There are some regional factsheets towards the bottom and the relevant figure is on page 4 of the East of England Report in Table 6 (hope this isn't too much detail!).
The document makes for interesting reading. Whilst violent crime has increased by 33% in Herts, it has actually dropped in Essex and Cambrigeshire! (probably because the're all in Hertford on a Saturday night!)
Reply ID 9017
21/07/2005 by JohnSmith
Without looking at the figures, percentage increases can be misleading. e.g:
A 33% could be from 3 violent crimes to 4 whilst a mere 14% increase could be from 100 to 114.
Reply ID 9023
21/07/2005 by smileyoriley
sure but I have to admit, from what has been happening in recent times in Hertford alone, I am not surprised the percentage has gone up
Reply ID 9037
22/07/2005 by sloopjohnb
I haven't examined the figures either but is this an increase in recorded crime. The more that victims are prepared to report drime and the more efficient the police are at logging crime then it will increase. There is also the matter of CCTV which also picks up on incidents. Incidents in Hertford rise because they are recorded on camera and some arrests have been a direct result of shoplifters and other criminals being spotted and reported by traders and licensees. Crime is always there; its just that it's not always that obvious if its not being detected.
Reply ID 9041
22/07/2005 by Steve
But the same equally applies in the other counties as well, so the fact remains that violent crime has grown alot more in Herts than other counties, unless of course the drop in Essex and Cambs is because people don't bother reporting violence anymore.
Reply ID 9047
22/07/2005 by skanky
The British crime survey has nationwide violent crime reduced, whereas the reported amounts of violent crime have gone up. Each figure has its limitations. A rise in reported crime does not mean a rise in crime, even if the rise is higher than in other areas as the level of reporting can vary before the changes. I don't know if the British criome survey does regional statistics, but I'm sure it could be found out through some googling.
6 replies