Topic ID 5006
If you have been watching the BBC and Sky News weather forecast recently you may have noticed that they have been rather inaccurate to say the least. If you want to find out what the weather is like in our region with a more accurate nowcast this is a great place to find out, there is also forecasters on the very busy forum who forecast for the region and up until now they have been spot on they even said that the snow forecast over the weekend would not be quite as severe as the Met office were predicting. Last Wednesday I was reading the weather forum around about 7.45am after hearing that Simon Balle school would open and I read that it was going to snow very heavy in Hertford (because we were in the line of a streamer) for around 2-3 hours I also looked at the latest satellite update here http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ and here http://www.meteox.co.uk/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=6&type=zoom&x=244&y=222 and I could quite clearly see the Snow heading to Hertford,. I took the decision not to send my children into School because of this and I'm glad I did. If the Headmasters and Headmistress of schools in the area were made aware of this instead of listening and taken decisions from a broader general forecast we would not have to go through all of the inconvenience in going to the schools only to be informed that when we get there the school has taken a decision to close like Miss. Saunders has done on several occasions now. I do find it a little behind the times with heads of schools still listening to a more broader forecast then making decisions on that especially in todays world of ICT at your fingertips. I do hope you will find the 3 counties weather forum useful in the weeks ahead because I think we have plenty more adverse weather to come. They are some experienced local forecasters on the forum aswell as folk who just post updates on the weather from across our region. Here is the Net Weather forum for the Three Counties. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/60210-3-counties-ea-cold-spell-discussion-part-5/page__st__340 Edit: I forgot to add that all of the forum users love to see the Snow so when they use the word favourable etc. for our region remember to see it as bad news if you don't want it to Snow. [:D]
Reply ID 70974
Interesting, though to be fair if a headmaster/mistress decided to close/open the the school on their interpretation of one of those sites and ignored the BBCs opinion then they are opening themselves up to a lot of abuse/questions if they get it wrong....!
Reply ID 70976
Frenchie the BBC go with the model projected forecast from the Met. Office taken from the 6 ghz and the 12 ghz run's and not nowcasting as I have provided, when I say nowcasting it's within a 2 hour period normally so this allows plenty of time for a decision to be made. I won't go into the details of it because it may confuse you and others, however the BBC on Tuesday afternoon had issued severe weather warnings for the West of England only, it was not until later that evening that the BBC UPGRADED the warnings for the East while the forecasters on the forum had said the evening before that it would also be in the East and not just the West. It's not a interpretation in nowcasting it is using the radar and taking into consideration alot of other things which is more accurate. Imagine this if the BBC had predicted heavy snowfall for today which they they had on Sunday would the Schools be open today I ask you? It's your and the Headmasters/Mistress decision to listen to the BBC but please give them a call if they do get it wrong as they have on many occasions including this weekend, oh and who can ever forget this. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uqs1YXfdtGE
Reply ID 70979
Tbf, I recall that the BBC were warning of heavy snow well before Tuesday evening and on Saturday they were only predicting light snow for yesterday. However, those are interesting links Dell Boy and you seem to know more about weather forcasting than most of us. Perhaps you could become the forum's own weather expert and warn us if you think the bigger forcasters are wrong in the future! [8D]
Reply ID 70980
quote:lol I will see you on the forum during the adverse weather then? The BBC forecasted lighter snow but persisting through Sunday into Monday with accumulations of between 5 to 15 cm and blowing around with drifting snow for our Region. They downgraded that warning at 6 a.m. on Sunday morning in the first live broadcast, that's the trouble they run pre-recorded forecasts during the night on the BBC and I was up well into the early hours weather watching on the radar and the forum (sad I know) and we witnessed the warmer uppers spread into the region via 3 am. However if the warmer front had of been a little later the snow and colder uppers from Holland and Germany would have gave us those measures quite easily if not more so a lucky escape. It was only 100 km's off the Norfolk Coast and when the warm front met - it broke up into the North Sea. Some of the more experienced forecasters on the forum had already forcasted this well before the BBC. Forecasting weather in these circumstances are very difficult IN DEFENCE of the BBC and Met.Office. However these weather conditions are a very much localised event what we call marginal. I have been iterested in the weather for a few yearS now but not experienced enough to give you a forecast, I would much rather believe the forecasters on the forum because I can honestly say they have been correct every time or may just have been lucky but that's different to nowcasting the weather for Hertford.[:D] Did you know that the presenters on the BBC all have there own forecast but it is the head of the BBC forecasting team who makes the final decision, incidentally he has just been given a massive pay rise, well worth it. So how much would I get for my forecast on here Admin? lol Mainly the BBC do call on the more adverse forecast during marginal situations to cover themselves and every 1 is happy if it don't happen no complaints from you or any others, but if they drastically got it wrong in those circumstances what would happen then? We all know that answer from 1987. Edit: yes the BBC were forecasting snow to the East on Sunday and Monday but the models told them it would be it the West on Tuesday Morning, only later that day from the 12 ghz they upgraded to the East again, will be interesting for the forecasted heavy snow in the West tomorrow will it spread East I suggest you look at the forum. hu hu mmmm. Edit update: very interesting for Herts. now http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/60296-3-counties-ea-cold-spell-discussion-part-6/
Originally posted by dennismoore
Tbf, I recall that the BBC were warning of heavy snow well before Tuesday evening and on Saturday they were only predicting light snow for yesterday. However, those are interesting links Dell Boy and you seem to know more about weather forcasting than most of us. Perhaps you could become the forum's own weather expert and warn us if you think the bigger forcasters are wrong in the future! [8D]
Reply ID 70994
Admin I don't want this to become a weather forum but I must post this to back up my claim, note the date he posted this and the streamer he mentioned had Hertford included: Roger J Smith * * Cumulonimbus * PipPipPipPipPipPip * Group: Members * Posts: 3,487 * Joined: 08-September 05 * Gender:Male * Location:Vancouver BC Canada Posted 03 January 2010 - 22:19 Nick, I'm getting the feeling that rather severe conditions could develop from Tuesday onward, the distinction between what's already happening and severe being perhaps a matter of degrees (or lack of them) ... but I foresee some temperatures as low as -10 C or -12 C even in snow-covered areas of central and southern inland England as the cold feed slowly intensifies. I am also foreseeing some localized heavy snowfalls with this low pressure system developing in the southern end of the North Sea and a moderately strong NE gradient of 25-40 knots. Is there a name given to some local streamer from The Wash feeding SW or SSW, like the name for the Cheshire Gap streamer? Because that sort of effect could develop and give places around Cambridge, Luton and north of London generally a heavy snowfall event later this week? Kent and parts of East Anglia may also get hit fairly hard at times. But further north, while it may be hit or miss, I could easily foresee 20-40 cms of snow falling in some places in Yorkshire and northeast England. Northern Ireland and parts of eastern Ireland could see their fair share of snow streamers during the week. And with that ridge appearing closer to Scotland later in the week, there could be opportunities for some locally sub -20 C readings to appear (if the nights stay clear). This post has been edited by Roger J Smith: 03 January 2010 - 22:22 I know who I would listen to. Link:http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/59644-new-year-cold-spell/ [;)] Also read Nick F post further down the thread.Nick F Thursday 7th January: During Saturday, further mainly light snow showers look like blowing inland across England and Wales on the strong biting easterly winds - perhaps gusting to gale force along the east coast - which will surely produce quite a severe wind chill towards the east. Sunday into Monday's developments still are rather uncertain: an upper warm front, associated with low over central Europe, is shown by the faxes to slide in from the near continent - which will inject less cold air and moisture aloft across southern England, which will likely produce thickening cloud across southern and central England bringing outbreaks of snow at times inland though perhaps sleet along coasts. GFS doesn't suggest much heaviness of the snowfall, UKMO suggests some heavier falls.
Reply ID 71040
Todays weather forecast is not too bad according to the BBC forecast on the 10 o'clock news last night.[:0] They got it right. But no mention of possible travel disruption unless this is now becoming the norm. However the Met Office upgraded the snow for our region at 4.31 am quite a surprise they were quick off the mark there. [:0]
Reply ID 71393
Brrrr. Shiver get ready the Easterly is heading back to Hertford then a Northerly Scandi high sits over us with Snow showers, exact weather pattern as a couple of weeks ago maybe on it's way, you have been warned.
Reply ID 71412
quote:[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/snowing.gif[/IMG] Thanks for the heads-up DellBoy! I hope you (and the forecasters) are wrong - but maybe, I will look out those winter woolies and dig out the sledge - just in case!*J* [IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/snowing.gif[/IMG]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Brrrr. Shiver get ready the Easterly is heading back to Hertford then a Northerly Scandi high sits over us with Snow showers, exact weather pattern as a couple of weeks ago maybe on it's way, you have been warned.
Reply ID 71418
The Met. Office have decided to disagree with their own model runs, that's incredible this must be the first time in the Met Office history since computers were used in forecasting, the reason because the model run is not showing the East Pacific Oscillation. My guess is that they don't want to get this 1 wrong so now they are relying on model watching instead just like the rest of us and a experienced forecasters judgement with the E.P.O. taken into condideration. This has to be the most difficult period of model watching I can remember in 3 years. Things are all over the place at the moment it could go Very cold with huge huge amounts of snow or change back to a milder period. We won't know until the early hours of Wednesday so can still go 1 way or another atm. sorry I can't be much more help but it's going to be colder but how much is it going to be intense cold with snow is the question even the forecasters don't have the answer just yet. Very exciting times if we get the Norherly taking control the last amount of Snow we had in Hertford will account to nothing if this comes off.
Reply ID 71439
Any further news Dell Boy? (I feel like I am Grandad asking that) [:)]
Reply ID 71441
No further news I'm afraid she's not quite there yet a bit of dilation to go for which the majority of people it's good news if you believe in the Cassandra Complex but as soon as that Damien Northerly starts to materialize and the Lover from Russia gets here I will let you know 007.Your safe for another few days over and out. Edit: A secret message for you. [}:)] http://forum.netweather.tv/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=96149 http://forum.netweather.tv/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=96149
Reply ID 71497
Ok here is the latest update regarding the weather forecast for Hertford. A Northerly is heading down as I warned on here on the 22nd Jan. now you will begin to see the BBC and Sky Forecasters adding more detail into this over the next couple of days and the Met. Office will be issuing severe weather warnings for parts of the British Isles accordingly. A Northerly is usually short lived 3 to 4 days max. We don't usually get a lot of Snow from a Northerly in Hertford that's usually more confined to the coast of NE England and the Norfolk Coast but on this very rare occassion last seen in the Winter of 1947 a Easterly is tracking it's way into Britain during this time period so it's going to be very cold with sub zero temperatures and PERHAPS some Snow for Herford how much is very hard to say at this time, it may be a case of nowcasting which I mentioned earlier in this thread. We may see a little milder air topple over us for a day or 2 on Monday next week before the Easterly takes it's hold when I say hold this would block out any warmer pressure from getting into Britain the same as happened during the last cold spell, BUT a lot could happen between next Tuesday and now so we are not 100% sure on this just yet but a trend is developing on the ensemble. If the block occurs Herford and most of the British Isles will be in a DEEP FREEZE again but this time we could see longer periods and a deeper accumulation of Snow fall than last time because of the pressure build over Greenland. Hope this makes sense, so YES I would certainly get out those winter woolies for at least the short term forecast over the weekend it would be Well Worth It. [8D] http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ensviewer;sess= Possible block developing: [?] [IMG]http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=ensviewer;sess=
Reply ID 71504
You're not related to the late Bill Foggitt, are you Dell Boy?
Reply ID 71508
Lol no I don't predict the weather according to the look of my pine cones.. etc. [:p]
Reply ID 71526
Oh yes, Arty - I remember Old Bill Foggit - and used to read his articles. According to his followers he was about 88% right in his *natural* forecasting.. birds nesting high/low etc...pine cones and animal behaviour. I'm following this topic with interest! [:D] *J*.
Reply ID 71537
Well it's nice to know you have an interest in the weather for Hertford it does help to break the ice when having a conversation with a stranger. The extreme cold Easterly block has somewhat slowed down a little and most likely will not reach Hertford until around the 6th of February but that still hangs in the balance as a number of factors can change this to be earlier or later in February. This means as I mentioned earlier a slightly milder spell of Weather from late Monday onwards until the block gets over (if it makes it). However it looks pretty wintry from the Northerly for Sunday into Monday morning for Hertford. I’m issuing this as a early warning please look out for a more detailed update in the next 24 hours.
Reply ID 71540
Thanks Dell Boy, keep 'em coming! [:)]
Reply ID 71557
Forecast Update: As most of you will have probably viewed the BBC Weather Forecast by now the Northerly will reach our region tomorrow afternoon and heavy Snow warnings are now being issued for parts of Britain. What does the weather have in store for Hertford and most important will it Snow? Like I said a Northerly usually gives Snowfall to coastal districts and they will see the heaviest of Snowfall in N.E.Scotland, N.E .England and East Anglia the worst affected areas. However I wont be surprised that a few troughs will develop on Sunday evening as the wind begins to change direction which may give us Snow showers in the early hours of Monday morning but they will not accumulate too much if they do manage over to our Region. Its very difficult to forecast the precipitation and troughs until a few hours before for weather forecasters in this set up so generally you will hear the term maybe a few showers making the way inland so listen carefully because the dew point is very favourable in Hertford according to my Pine Cones. Briefly: A very cold weekend with a wind-chill, frost in the mornings, sunny days and temperatures struggling above 3c. Now for the very important bit: The Lover from Russia looks like to be making the journey over to us in the next few days, the high pressure over Greenland is now starting to form just 1 of several factors that helps it on its journey, the other important factor is that a High Atlantic pressure is starting to build to our South over Spain so now I have a 90% confidence that will be over us between the 6th and 8th of February. Now the pressures building looks to be very high over the said areas, the higher those pressures rise all depends on how quickly the Easterly will get here including the jet stream so its very difficult to call a.t.m. The block will most definitely develop when it arrives but this does not guarantee Snow thats another factor which needs to occur so it may be extremely cold, dry and sunny with temperatures dropping to -16 in parts of our Region, its also worth mentioning that it may not be extreme cold either but it will dominate our weather for February so expect a very cold month overall. However a.t.m. everything looks like its fitting in for 1 hell of a beast to greet us in Hertford with a potential for huge amounts of Snow during its long stay. The longer it stalled in its current position its been most favourable for all those factors to materialise. The majority of model runs and the ensembles which are now becoming a trend looks likely that this block will stretch from Siberia over to the U.S.A. and all I can say a.t.m. is WOW these charts have never been seen for many years and dare I say its a very similar set up as the Winter of 1947. Enjoy your weekend, watch out for those morning frosts on the roads and I hope you are now looking forward to part 3 of our wonderful Hertford Winter. [:D]
Reply ID 71559
I got similar information earlier, but not as extreme. I hope that you are wrong Dell Boy.
Reply ID 71561
quote:I trust she has my address!
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The Lover from Russia looks like to be making the journey over to us in the next few days
Reply ID 71563
Well I hope I'm wrong but most of that information has been spoken of by senior forecasters on the Weather forum for the past few hours now. What the most fascinating thing is that the guy who forecasted our last 2 Snow events here in Britain is now agreeing with us. I'm just breaking it down into plain English for you folk in Hertford to understand, its quite scary looking at the recent charts very scary indeed, I dont want 2 cause panic because it may not be that extreme as 1947 but it has to be mentioned the charts are very similar if not better (worse) where do you get your information from you dont have Pine Cones aswell do you ? lol the Lover from Russia is for 007. from Russia with love but Im sure she will pay you a visit on your doorstep in a drift lol. Edit:I have just found this blog from a BBC forecaster aswell and they usually are very cautious in the words so have a good read of it. http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/
Reply ID 71567
wow, really? this isnt a wind-up? Right better stock up on beans then!
Reply ID 71568
Thanks for this Dell Boy please keep us informed I will need to change my plans if we look likley to be in deep snow on Feb 6th - 8th!
Reply ID 71571
quote:Ugh. How patronising.
Originally posted by Dell Boy I'm just breaking it down into plain English for you folk in Hertford to understand
quote:2? Were you drunk when you posted that?
Originally posted by Dell BoyI dont want 2
Reply ID 71573
quote:Marilyn PLEASE read it over again carefully I did not say Snow its a cold Easterly that may arrive around these dates sorry for the confusing.
Originally posted by Marilyn
Thanks for this Dell Boy please keep us informed I will need to change my plans if we look likley to be in deep snow on Feb 6th - 8th!
Reply ID 71574
Not patronising at all. Thank you Dell Boy for the information.
Reply ID 71575
quote:Ok, in the future just for you I will post the charts for the Hertford weather and then you can make your own assumptions from them. What Im trying to do is to break it down into simpler terms rather than weather chart talk quoted from weather forums, no offence intended and Im sorry if it offended you,it wasnt my intentions to sound patronising. (2) If my Grammar is not to your satisfaction please scrutinise over this forum for other mistakes made in error by forum members. I do agree its awful grammar from a 45 year old that should know better especially after checking my Daughters for that sort of language it was text talk made in error. Drunk no! but I thought I must have been after I looked at this model run. Im sure you will be able to understand it so no need to explain it to you? What about Tuesday's weather for Hertford I recommend that you watch the BBC weather forecast spoken in clear English, however if you do find a fault perhaps you should let them know. Ugh Ugh. [;)] [IMG]http://i45.tinypic.com/2u4224l.jpg[/IMG]
Originally posted by stevenquote:Ugh. How patronising.
Originally posted by Dell Boy I'm just breaking it down into plain English for you folk in Hertford to understandquote:2? Were you drunk when you posted that?
Originally posted by Dell BoyI dont want 2
Reply ID 71577
quote:I'm glad you agree thankyou. [:D]
Originally posted by thorny
Not patronising at all. Thank you Dell Boy for the information.
Reply ID 71580
quote:No it's not a wind up but PLEASE consider that forecasting this far in advance is not 100% right, the BBC and the Met. Office can make mistakes even with a shorter weather forecast, So can I lol. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html?day=2 Click on Tuesday and scroll down the page a little. I quote a saying from the last Snow event in Hertford in the words of Rob McEldrew 'and there is always Tuesday ha, ha'.[?]
Originally posted by codek2
wow, really? this isnt a wind-up? Right better stock up on beans then!
Reply ID 71581
Wife just rang me to say it's snowing in Bengeo.
Reply ID 71582
quote:There are far better ways of putting that across [:)] Personally, I have no problem interpreting technical weather forecasts (nor METAR/TAF data). I have my own weather station at home and wrote the software to decode/log/display/graph the data via rrdtool, so from a personal point of view, it was a bit patronising to make the assumption that "us people of Hertford" couldn't understand it.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Ok, in the future just for you I will post the charts for the Hertford weather and then you can make your own assumptions from them. What Im trying to do is to break it down into simpler terms rather than weather chart talk quoted from weather forums, no offence intended and Im sorry if it offended you,it wasnt my intentions to sound patronising.
quote:I wasn't criticising your grammar (where did you magic that idea from?) but the use of '2' instead of 'to'. You do have a full keyboard in front of you and you aren't limited to 160 characters.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
(2) If my Grammar is not to your satisfaction please scrutinise over this forum for other mistakes made in error by forum members.
quote:Thanks for the condescension but I do understand it. It's not a question of finding fault, and I never made such an assertion. I do in fact check what's going on and tend to make up my own mind based on various data sources as well as my own far more locally recorded data. None of this was my point at all, however.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Drunk no! but I thought I must have been after I looked at this model run. Im sure you will be able to understand it so no need to explain it to you? What about Tuesday's weather for Hertford I recommend that you watch the BBC weather forecast spoken in clear English, however if you do find a fault perhaps you should let them know. Ugh Ugh. [;)]
Reply ID 71583
quote:Nothing to worry about this is because the Northerly cold weather is over us now in Hertford and it's just catching the back edge of last nights rain and obviously with the cold air it will fall as snow. [:D]
Originally posted by Bubbaoshea
Wife just rang me to say it's snowing in Bengeo.
Reply ID 71586
quote:Ok sorry again Steven, perhaps you could contribute your data on to the Hertford weather forum? I only have my pine cones to judge by. Whats your thoughts on the Easterly that is presently in f1 for Hertford and Britain. This is how I make it out: I think the 850hpa ensembles show a split of about 50/50 with some becoming less cold uppers after the Northerly, then resorting to a cold Easterly like the 12z op but the others maintain cold uppers for most of the reliable timeframe including the control. Sorry folks of Hertford I hope you understand this, now we can realy start talking English Steven lol Sorry I hope thats the end of a little disagreement but being amature forecasters we are used to it and I now challenge my pine cones against yours. [;)]
Originally posted by stevenquote:There are far better ways of putting that across [:)] Personally, I have no problem interpreting technical weather forecasts (nor METAR/TAF data). I have my own weather station at home and wrote the software to decode/log/display/graph the data via rrdtool, so from a personal point of view, it was a bit patronising to make the assumption that "us people of Hertford" couldn't understand it.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Ok, in the future just for you I will post the charts for the Hertford weather and then you can make your own assumptions from them. What Im trying to do is to break it down into simpler terms rather than weather chart talk quoted from weather forums, no offence intended and Im sorry if it offended you,it wasnt my intentions to sound patronising.quote:I wasn't criticising your grammar (where did you magic that idea from?) but the use of '2' instead of 'to'. You do have a full keyboard in front of you and you aren't limited to 160 characters.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
(2) If my Grammar is not to your satisfaction please scrutinise over this forum for other mistakes made in error by forum members.quote:Thanks for the condescension but I do understand it. It's not a question of finding fault, and I never made such an assertion. I do in fact check what's going on and tend to make up my own mind based on various data sources as well as my own far more locally recorded data. None of this was my point at all, however.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Drunk no! but I thought I must have been after I looked at this model run. Im sure you will be able to understand it so no need to explain it to you? What about Tuesday's weather for Hertford I recommend that you watch the BBC weather forecast spoken in clear English, however if you do find a fault perhaps you should let them know. Ugh Ugh. [;)]
Reply ID 71587
there's quite a lot of snow across the whole country at the moment: http://www.twitmaps.com
Reply ID 71588
quote:Again, you are missing my point entirely, and your remarks on "pine cones" are inflammatory and ridiculous. I was merely pointing out that "the people of Hertford" aren't stupid, which your sentence _seemed_ to imply. I'm sorry if that bothered you to the point of ad hominem arguments, but that is hardly my problem.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Ok sorry again Steven, perhaps you could contribute your data on to the Hertford weather forum? I only have my pine cones to judge by. Whats your thoughts on the Easterly that is presently in f1 for Hertford and Britain.
quote:I have no time for this after your immature attack on me on a completely unrelated thread for absolutely no reason whatsoever. You don't even seem to understand the difference between spelling, grammar, and lazyness. Edited for a single typo [;)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Sorry folks of Hertford I hope you understand this, now we can realy start talking English Steven lol Sorry I hope thats the end of a little disagreement but being amature forecasters we are used to it and I now challenge my pine cones against yours. [;)]
Reply ID 71589
quote:I don't come on this forum to insult any 1 as I have already explained how many times do you need me to say sorry. If you look back in this thread you will see that the 'pine cones' is a joke gesture to another forum member. You realy need to lighten up a bit and stop the nit picking on this excellent forum. My attack on you! explain that please its you insulting me on this thread with words such as me not being able to understand the differnce between spelling, grammar and dont you mean LAZINESS and not lazyness. ROFL http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=lazyness Anyway back on topic. end of. Sorry Admin.
Originally posted by stevenquote:Again, you are missing my point entirely, and your remarks on "pine cones" are inflammatory and ridiculous. I was merely pointing out that "the people of Hertford" aren't stupid, which your sentence _seemed_ to imply. I'm sorry if that bothered you to the point of ad hominem arguments, but that is hardly my problem.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Ok sorry again Steven, perhaps you could contribute your data on to the Hertford weather forum? I only have my pine cones to judge by. Whats your thoughts on the Easterly that is presently in f1 for Hertford and Britain.quote:I have no time for this after your immature attack on me on a completely unrelated thread for absolutely no reason whatsoever. You don't even seem to understand the difference between spelling, grammar, and lazyness. Edited for a single typo [;)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Sorry folks of Hertford I hope you understand this, now we can realy start talking English Steven lol Sorry I hope thats the end of a little disagreement but being amature forecasters we are used to it and I now challenge my pine cones against yours. [;)]
Reply ID 71590
quote:Yes, your dig on the Fordwich thread, which had zero bearing on anything other than you wanting to air your grievance elsewhere. And I stand by my statement that substituting letters for numeric homophones is pure laziness. And thanks for the pointer on my spelling, I'm amazed I made that error (seriously).
Originally posted by Dell Boy
My attack on you! explain that please its you insulting me on this thread with words such as me not being able to understand the differnce between spelling, grammar
Reply ID 71591
Thats ok, I'm amazed in your error we all make mistakes dont we? Deja Vu, lets just leave it at that and get on with the topic in the thread please Steven. Edit: Very cold in Herford now watch out for the ice you may slip.
Reply ID 71597
I am exhausted Reading and trying to follow all that! All I want to know us - are we likely have significant snowfall next Thurs or Fri?
Reply ID 71599
Reports of two weather fronts clashing here this afternoon with a sprinkling of light bickering, with an unusual bicker-drift in the direction of Fordwich. It now appears that things have stopped so hopefully things have thawed. [:D]
Reply ID 71602
quote:Im so sorry Nora, I was only trying to provide every 1 on the forum with information which I have gathered from weather forums thats all. [:D] You should be ok Nora as temperatures are set to rise slightly on Thursday and Friday. A weak Atlantic low edges in over Hertford with a little rain. However please check the forum for further details because Tuesday is close to call a.t.m. it could be interesting. It will get colder again next weekend, beyond that the possible Easterly is still uncertain. I will let you more about the Easterly in due course its very stubborn at the moment refusing to move Westwards towards us so its good news for less severe cold and snowy weather a.t.m. PLEASE dont be alarmed that its going to be extremely cold with snow because of my post last night about the possible Easterly I was speaking about the worst case Scenario, like I said its quite a long way off in temrs of forecasting. It may not happen so fingers crossed. [8D] Edit: Typo error Im glad no 1 spotted that 1 lol
Originally posted by nora batty
I am exhausted Reading and trying to follow all that! All I want to know us - are we likely have significant snowfall next Thurs or Fri?
Reply ID 71605
quote:Im glad you have a sense of humour on a internet forum because I dont you plonker [:(] [:D] [:D]
Originally posted by Woody
Reports of two weather fronts clashing here this afternoon with a sprinkling of light bickering, with an unusual bicker-drift in the direction of Fordwich. It now appears that things have stopped so hopefully things have thawed. [:D]
Reply ID 71614
It's just started to Snow in Hertford only very light and wont last long its 1 of the troughs that made it across from the East Anglian Coast. The troughs that I was explaining about earlier in the thread that can appear almost anywhere when blown inland.Its a good job its not so big, I expect many more to be blown inland over the next 3-4 days so dont be surprised if a dusting or a cm or 2 will fall in Hertford. Edit: you can watch out for them here. http://www.meteox.co.uk/gmapstatic.aspx?zoom=6&type=zoom&x=242&y=215
Reply ID 71615
quote:Technically it was localised in the Fordwich area, if Mr Boy is indeed in the same area as me, however I'm making that assumption based on the fact a sharp (but weak) frost was detected there [;)]
Originally posted by Woody]
with an unusual bicker-drift in the direction of Fordwich.
Reply ID 71616
As I said in a earlier post Steven, Its very difficult to forecast the precipitation and troughs until a few hours before for weather forecasters in this set up so generally you will hear the term maybe a few showers making the way inland so listen carefully because the dew point is very favourable in Hertford according to my Pine Cones. You must be radar watching aswell good morning to you be very careful on your paper round. Boy indeed lol [;)] [IMG]http://i47.tinypic.com/2ymdky1.png[/IMG]
Reply ID 71617
quote:Good morning, I'm not actually, just listening to some music. Here are some graphs, for the last month (I have removed all but the external sensor data), temperature and dew point, which should correlate with past forecasts: [img]http://i161.photobucket.com/albums/t232/cottonfoo/serve.png[/img] And for the last 12 hours: [img]http://i161.photobucket.com/albums/t232/cottonfoo/serve.png[/img] These graphs are only valid as of now, from the top of a hill on Fordwich. Edited to add, if you note the mm/h in the y-axis legend but see no data, that's because the rain gauge is next door having been recently cleaned but not yet re-deployed [:)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
You must be radar watching aswell good morning to you.
Reply ID 71619
Thats great Steven, thanks so I know whom to ask if I want to update my weather records. Seriously whats your views on the potential of the Easterly reaching us it is 50-50 a.t.m.? My goodness if we do get the full force of that it would be incredible with -20 uppers, a block stretching thousands of miles and the North Sea Convection being sucked in. However it may well be the air from the Continent that is dragged across to Hertford in the end, not quite as pwerfull but still cold and snowy lasting approx 4-5 days. We should know by Tuesday whats going to happen we just need the GFS and the UKMO to agree on all the other models. We are now seeing a trend including the ensembles at t-168 but its still in F1.
Reply ID 71620
I feel like I've wandered into some sort of meteorological p*ssing competition
Reply ID 71622
Lol! Leo!!! All I want to know is will my son be playing footy this morning! (no, as it happens. Just got the text.)
Reply ID 71626
quote:Goodness gracious me Nora! you didnt expect me to go and inspect the football pitch and referee the game with a weather radar in my pocket did you? [:0] Yes its going to snow next Thursday and Friday folks [:p]
Originally posted by nora batty
Lol! Leo!!! All I want to know is will my son be playing footy this morning! (no, as it happens. Just got the text.)
Reply ID 71627
quote:I'm just breaking it down into plain English for you folk in Hertford to understand..... Oh no here we go again [:D] Steven...Steven ...explain this 1 for me please. [;)] Isnt the weather fun folks no wonder its Hertfords most talked about subject. [^]
Originally posted by nora batty
Lol! Leo!!! All I want to know is will my son be playing footy this morning! (no, as it happens. Just got the text.)
Reply ID 71629
bit of a stormin a teacup. [:p]
Reply ID 71633
quote:
temperatures are set to rise slightly on Thursday and Friday
quote:so which is most likely...........need to know what time it will snow on Thursday please [:D]
Yes its going to snow next Thursday and Friday folks [:p]
Reply ID 71634
I have some very important news regarding the Easterly. Ian Ferguson from the BBC weather forecasting team posted a comment on the Netweather forum earlier. Basically a member of the forum from Hertfordshire (I wonder whom that could be)citied and posted Ians blog with general thoughts about the Easterly that has caused hundreds of weather entusiasts opinions over the last few days. I posted his blog on the forum because there was a feeling of negativity among members after the 6 a. m. UKMO model run no longer showed the Easterly over Brirain in early February. This was very confusing because all other runs apart from the UKMO run have been showing it now for around 4 days. I posted Ian's blog because he favoured the Easterly taking control of our weather in February. He posted to clarify that the data output from the run which the BBC use for forecasting in future forecasting was wrong in there opinion and that the team at the B.B.C. have been in a meeting earlier today to discuss this. At the moment they are disregarding the model data in the forecast and we have learnt that the model has been wrong on several occasions so far. Apparently they have not used the data from the run for 4 days now. We had a general feeling that something must be wrong on the run because all other runs have shown a trend apart from the UKMO recently. The news came as a great relief for the forum members because of the output data we knew something must have been wrong somewhere. I think this highlights the awful forecasting earlier in January from the BBC its not there fault something is seriously wrong at the Met.Office in my opinion, wrong data is being fed into the computers and because this has been a winter a lot different from others its throwing out very contradicting, confusing weather charts. here is the link to the thread. Ian Fergusons post is half way down the page and continues for 2 further pages with replys: the other posters that commented on the subject is Snowstorm1, nick sussex, Snowman0697, mark bayley, frosty 039 and some1 called Blizzrd of oz from Hertfordsire. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/60853-model-output-discussion/page__st__85 The Met. Office is in such a mess at the moment which I did mention in my first post on this thread. heads will role and the BBC now have the information provided to them out to tender.. dont you dare ask why dont I put in for it. lol
Reply ID 71635
quote:I said that in a gesture to Nora, its most very unlikely to snow on those days Marilyn. [:D]
Originally posted by Marilyn
quote:
temperatures are set to rise slightly on Thursday and Fridayquote:so which is most likely...........need to know what time it will snow on Thursday please [:D]
Yes its going to snow next Thursday and Friday folks [:p]
Reply ID 71637
quote:Thank goodness I will keep checking back for your latest forecasts! If you could arrange it that we don't have any on 8th /9th I would be most grateful![:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:I said that in a gesture to Nora, its most very unlikely to snow on those days Marilyn. [:D]
Originally posted by Marilyn
quote:
temperatures are set to rise slightly on Thursday and Fridayquote:so which is most likely...........need to know what time it will snow on Thursday please [:D]
Yes its going to snow next Thursday and Friday folks [:p]
Reply ID 71642
I've lost interest now.
Reply ID 71644
quote:As I stated in another thread - The Met Office, which has provided forecasts for the BBC for nearly 90 years, has its contract with the broadcaster expiring in April. The contract has been put out to tender to ensure 'best value for money' and the BBC has begun talks with Metra, the national forecaster for New Zealand, as a possible alternative. A source close to Metra told the Sunday Times: 'The BBC is not happy with the service it has been getting from the Met Office; it thinks it’s too expensive. The new tender document states that the BBC is seeking a single forecaster to provide meteorological data and presenters for five years. Only companies with a turnover of more than £10million have been invited to apply. A fiver they go with the Met Office but at a reduced fee. (Storm in a teacup)? P
Originally posted by Dell Boy The Met. Office is in such a mess at the moment which I did mention in my first post on this thread. heads will role and the BBC now have the information provided to them out to tender.. dont you dare ask why dont I put in for it. lol
Reply ID 71647
quote:There's more than one thread of people talking about the weather?!! Only to be expected with so many nail bars and hairdressers in town, I suppose. Maybe I'll start one entitled, "So, been on yer 'olidays yet?" [:)]
As I stated in another thread - The Met Office, which has provided forecasts for the BBC for nearly 90 years, has its contract with the broadcaster expiring in April. The contract has been put out to tender to ensure 'best value for money' and the BBC has begun talks with Metra, the national forecaster for New Zealand, as a possible alternative. A source close to Metra told the Sunday Times: 'The BBC is not happy with the service it has been getting from the Met Office; it thinks it’s too expensive. The new tender document states that the BBC is seeking a single forecaster to provide meteorological data and presenters for five years. Only companies with a turnover of more than £10million have been invited to apply. A fiver they go with the Met Office but at a reduced fee. (Storm in a teacup)? P
Reply ID 71663
Weather Forecast update: Monday starts very cold and icy so be careful on the roads, temperatures gradually rising through the day to 6c feeling milder. Rain and milder weather over our Region on Tuesday. Wednesday to Friday near normal temperature feeling less cold. A battle is raging between the milder weather to the South and the colder weather to the East, which 1 wins the command for the second week in February is uncertain, however confidence is favourable to a return of colder weather by next weekend which may just allow the Easterly to make its move towards us in the second week of February.(The extreme cold Easterly still remains a threat for the second week in February uncertainly remains) I will update in the next 48 hours when I will have a more detailed forecast for next weekend and the second week of February also if the Beast from the East finally makes a move or if the milder weather takes control. Very interesting times ahead as the Easterly threat refuses to go away. The extreme cold weather from the East forcasted for next weekend has been downgraded so some good news at least.
Reply ID 71675
quote:So near, snow troughs(showers) moving South-South East, we may get 1 before dawn. [;)] [IMG]http://i48.tinypic.com/352ok2e.png[/IMG]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Forecast Update: However I wont be surprised that a few troughs will develop on Sunday evening as the wind begins to change direction which may give us Snow showers in the early hours of Monday morning but they will not accumulate too much if they do manage over to our Region. Its very difficult to forecast the precipitation and troughs until a few hours before for weather forecasters in this set up so generally you will hear the term maybe a few showers making the way inland so listen carefully because the dew point is very favourable in Hertford according to my Pine Cones. Briefly: A very cold weekend with a wind-chill, frost in the mornings, sunny days and temperatures struggling above 3c.
Reply ID 71680
In an attempt to broaden the thread, here is an article from The Telegraph by Philip Eden (a recent vice president of the Royal Meteorological Society) about the recent attacks on the Met Office, e.g. "Barbeque Summers". http://tinyurl.com/ygn592m P
Reply ID 71739
General Outlook: The models have been all over the place during the last 8 days, they are starting to settle now and are more in line towards agreement with mild, wet and windy weather for the next 5 days. The extremely cold Easterly wont reach us in the near future however the threat remains but confidence is low atm. so good news. I will update on here if and when there is any change because the models have been a total mess recently and just because they look to be favouring milder conditions please be aware that they can change so quickly. I wouldnt be surprised in the slightest if signs show colder conditions heading our way in the next few days. I dont trust the model runs at the moment because of the eratic outputs and also experienced forecasters are saying caution must be taken. This was highlighted yesterday evening after the Met. Office held a meeting and the agreement was that the Easterly cold and a blocking of the Atlantic air could still play a major roll in Februarys weather, what do they know? lol. Summing the situation up its a weather forecasters nightmare a.t.m., weather forecasters have been far too reliant on model runs over the last few years and this winter has thrown a spanner into the works tending for the models to go crazy from 1 extreme to another. My conclusion is that this Winter is not quite over yet and I expect in the very least another very cold perhaps snowy couple of days similar to last February, so be prepared. Roll on Summer. [8D] Edit: here is a post on a weather forum from Ian Fergusson a B.B.C. weather forecaster. As I noted on my blog (and I'm still reluctant to shift my somewhat ambivalent assessment at this juncture), there's still a chance of this being a distinctly cold end-game but it's likely to be a mid-next-week transition to anything distinctly chillier here in the West (weekend transition to something more SE'ly is likely later into the weekend in the SE/E, at least if latest UKMO GM is to be trusted). The flip-flop (and clearly for some, frustrating) nature of recent deterministic model runs is all thanks to the varying degrees of ridge amplification and its eastwards progress next week, plus it's noteworthy how the spread of EC EPS and Met Office MOGREPS solutions both for the weekend and into next week show a much greater spread than the norm. But hey-ho, such is the nature of this scientific discipline and especially at such essentially 'sci-fi' range peering into the future. The UKMO' latest detailed standpoint on the 6-10 / 10-15 day period (cited partially below and due to be updated at midnight - I do stress this!) says it all, in my mind, in terms of the continued uncertainty - hence my own low-grade enthusiasm over all this until we get into the weekend and see how it all develops thereafter. Cold? Probably. Very cold? Possibly (but by no means a done deal). Snowy? Well, based on the currently declining heavy PPN signal, maybe nothing significant on the cards, at least for lowland S. British Isles.... but then hey, the detail remains so very elusive that anything is possible. In the view of UKMO Ops Centre earlier today: "Significant uncertainty extends into this period. Favoured scenario is (snip) on unsettled side and often rather cold, perhaps cold..... (snip)........the balance of EPS output suggests low pressure continuing to dominate over the Atlantic next week, leading to a more SE’ly type developing bringing frontal zones erratically into the UK, leading to occasional snow risk in the north and east". Anyway, let's see what the next (flip-flop?) runs hint towards. http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/60981-model-output-discussion/page__st__187 7th and 10th post in the thread... I think I will let you be the judge of this because its guess work what the weather has in store for Hertford a.t.m. [?] [?] Sorry I cant be of any more help. [:(]
Reply ID 71762
I posted this on the 28th January earlier in the thread. Now for the very important bit: The Lover from Russia looks like to be making the journey over to us in the next few days, the high pressure over Greenland is now starting to form just 1 of several factors that helps it on its journey, the other important factor is that a High Atlantic pressure is starting to build to our South over Spain so now I have a 90% confidence that will be over us between the 6th and 8th of February. Now the pressures building looks to be very high over the said areas, the higher those pressures rise all depends on how quickly the Easterly will get here including the jet stream so its very difficult to call a.t.m. The block will most definitely develop when it arrives but this does not guarantee Snow thats another factor which needs to occur so it may be extremely cold, dry and sunny. Update: It will feel very cold on Monday and as we get into the second half of the week we are likely to see an increasing risk of snow showers. I mentioned earlier in the thread how snow is difficult to forecast so far ahead so I cant say for sure but it looks likely that Friday may bring us some disruptive snow to our region. I will post a update nearer the time. Its going to be a very cold month with no signs of it getting any milder as the cold weather block takes control in the coming days. I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning. Edit: Steve Im not messing with the thread and Im glad Admin has sorted out the database. [:D]
Reply ID 71765
Notice that the Met.Office have updated the forecast this morning lol. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_weather.html After studying the latest fax charts I think we may start to see snow showers as early as Monday evening, mostly rain and sleet during the afternoon turning to snow in the evening and then its down to nowcasting, its hard to tell the amounts of precipitation they will be come tomorrow evening. I will keep the thread updated. Luvly Jubly. Edit: I have just seen all the latest model runs and this cold weather has no signs of going anywhere for the next 10 days at least. The charts are very similar to the January very cold weather and snow, it will get colder each day from now and looking at the runs it looks like more persistent snow and sleet for Wednesday and Friday. Maybe its not going to be quite as cold this week as it was in January. Next week looks even colder for some parts of the country than it was in January.[:0] Im not even go to mention Saturday at the moment. [;)] Grandads beginning to get very excitied. He realy does make a fool of himself in the snow.
Reply ID 71777
The Met. Office have issued an early warning for Kent and East Sussex on Thursday, I wonder if the heavier snow will track across to our Region, will it snow and settle in Hertford? It certainly looks like we will get some heavy showers on Thursday and Friday, I will keep you updated but it looks like a radar watch event again. http://www.metoffice.com/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html Back to today, a lot more precipitation than first thought coming over from the wash. The snow and sleet today wont settle but as the ground temperatures become colder this evening any fall of the white stuff will settle however the showers should move away later this evening, dont be surprised wakening up to a dusting in the morning. Ice on the roads aswell so be careful, temperatures falling to -3. Edit: There is links provided for radar watching at the start of this thread.
Reply ID 71780
quote:The Wash - crikey, is it coming down Maidenhead Street and turning right or down Port Hill and turning left?
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Back to today, a lot more precipitation than first thought coming over from the wash.
Reply ID 71784
quote:This morning it was turning up Port Hill not sure what it is doing now [:D]
Originally posted by Rabbit Rabbitquote:The Wash - crikey, is it coming down Maidenhead Street and turning right or down Port Hill and turning left?
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Back to today, a lot more precipitation than first thought coming over from the wash.
Reply ID 71828
Weather warning extented by the Met. office this evening. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html Hertfordshire is not included, however as you may have noticed there has been a few snow showers in Hertford today but with the wind now changing direction we should notice a decrease in snow showers over us, watch out for the ice in the morning. Thursday and Friday mainly sunny but still feeling very cold in the wind chill, the weekend continues very cold and looking further ahead it remains cold/colder next week. I will update the forecast at the weekend, a.t.m. the model runs and ensembles are showing very cold weather again next week and a lot more snow is likely. If the model runs are still showing this trend at the weekend be prepared as I said in another post earlier. However the cold front could progress further East and it may turn a little milder but confidence is low on milder weather taking control next week. Its going to be another forecasters nightmare over the next few days again because a number of weather patterns could occur in the coming days and again the main models are not in agreeement with 1 another so I will let you know what the weather has in store for Hertford in due course. We have not experienced the full force of the Easterly this week its over the rest of Western Europe Germany in particular.
Reply ID 71839
It certainly looks like a unexpected longer spell of snow may well be heading in from the North Sea over East Anglia this is the band of snow forecasted for Sussex but it looks to be far too much North to me and with the wind direction changing again I wouldnt be surprised if we get a cm or 2 from this during the early hours of the morning if it continues in a Westerly direction. Its still a few hours away yet and Im monitoring it on the radar we may just catch the Northern end of this band of snow its all down to nowcasting now and I wouldnt take the BBC forecast as Gospel because things have and are changing minute by minute atm. I just thought I would warn members on here because things are realy starting to pep up over the North Sea and this has not been mentioned on the B.B.C. or Sky forecasts as yet. [IMG]http://i47.tinypic.com/334nsj6.png[/IMG]
Reply ID 71848
I am now officialy fed up with ALL cold weather and snow. [V][xx(][:(!] Gimme some Spring, ASAP ![8D]
Reply ID 71850
Im afraid its not much better for next week either cold and more widespread snow for next week is the trend on the models now. I will keep you updated but Monday night could bring us lots of snow however this may be a marginal event for Hertford atm it may be sleet or rain. I have a feeling that the upper temperatures may just be cold enough for snow like last February. [IMG]http://i48.tinypic.com/fa321f.jpg[/IMG]
Reply ID 71879
Am I the only one who thought the snow was fantastic? I'd love it if we had some more! [8D]
Reply ID 71880
no you're not, i'd like more, and a proper couple of foot would be good!
Reply ID 71882
The latest model runs suggest next week will be cold, atm snow on higher ground in Scotland and the North of England, the South still looks like a marginal event with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow. Im going to wait until the weekend before I give my opinion on the weather outlook for Hertford in the coming week. The media forecasts are telling us rain in the South East from Tuesday, however there is a very cold front to our South East that may bring our temperature down a degree or 2 just cold enough to turn the precipitation into snow.
Reply ID 71883
there was snow last night actually; Although not a lot, and the rain fairly quickly melted it away. Also interestingly, there was a 3degree temperature difference between hertford in the town, and 2 miles out of town in the countryside!
Reply ID 71907
This is the latest model run: very cold upper temperatures to our SE heads into our Region and East Anglia during Monday evening, this was my concern in a earlier post. The precipitation heading down from the North will turn to snow as it heads into our Region during the early hours of Tuesday morning. The precipitation level is quite high. If the models are showing this over the weekend you will see a weather warning issued from the Met. Office. They wont issue any warnings this far out in timescale because it could all change. So atm Im looking at this event with foresight, this is not a forecast for Tuesday, it could all show a different set up on the next run. [IMG]http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Edit: I posted this 0n February 6th, 'I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning'. The latest ensembles are showing deep cold and the UKMO charts are now showing snow for our Region. I expect snow warnings to be issued in the next couple of days unless there is a major downgrade. Next week looks likely to turn out a very snowy week in Hertford atm. Snow depths could be quite deep. [?] I will keep you updated of any downgrades or possible snow depths, imo at present it will be quite an event. [:0] We wont know for sure from the B.B.C. weather forecast until 24 hours before so watch the forecast [;)] or check here for more details. [:D] I did hear Peter Cockroft on the local SE news say sleet turning to snow on Tuesday. Here is a link for that. http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Click play on the Weather forecast video.
Reply ID 71925
quote:Sorry to disagree with you Dell Boy but the only early warning i think we need for the coming week IMHO is to wear our wellies and take a brolly! We had 850 uppers of -8 today yet only precipitation was rain...uppers are predicted above -5 for most of the coming week on latest models...really cant see anything more than a bit of slush...if that! [xx(]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
This is the latest model run: very cold upper temperatures to our SE heads into our Region and East Anglia during Monday evening, this was my concern in a earlier post. The precipitation heading down from the North will turn to snow as it heads into our Region during the early hours of Tuesday morning. The precipitation level is quite high. If the models are showing this over the weekend you will see a weather warning issued from the Met. Office. They wont issue any warnings this far out in timescale because it could all change. So atm Im looking at this event with foresight, this is not a forecast for Tuesday, it could all show a different set up on the next run. [IMG]http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Edit: I posted this 0n February 6th, 'I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning'. The latest ensembles are showing deep cold and the UKMO charts are now showing snow for our Region. I expect snow warnings to be issued in the next couple of days unless there is a major downgrade. Next week looks likely to turn out a very snowy week in Hertford atm. Snow depths could be quite deep. [?] I will keep you updated of any downgrades or possible snow depths, imo at present it will be quite an event. [:0] We wont know for sure from the B.B.C. weather forecast until 24 hours before so watch the forecast [;)] or check here for more details. [:D] I did hear Peter Cockroft on the local SE news say sleet turning to snow on Tuesday. Here is a link for that. http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Click play on the Weather forecast video.
Reply ID 71926
For the record, doesn't it have to be under minus (-) 5 for that powdery stuff that can't make a snow ball?
Reply ID 71927
quote:Is it only me losing the will to live? [img]http://planetsmilies.net/ill-violated-dead-smiley-9667.gif[/img]
Originally posted by sprocket We had 850 uppers of -8 today yet only precipitation was rain...uppers are predicted above -5 for most of the coming week on latest models
Reply ID 71928
quote:The false dawn Leo, stay calm. Sunday yet to arrive, milk and bread still on the shelves [:)]
Originally posted by Leo Densianquote:Is it only me losing the will to live? [img]http://planetsmilies.net/ill-violated-dead-smiley-9667.gif[/img]
Originally posted by sprocket We had 850 uppers of -8 today yet only precipitation was rain...uppers are predicted above -5 for most of the coming week on latest models
Reply ID 71932
Posted this on Friday: I expect snow warnings to be issued in the next couple of days unless there is a major downgrade. There it is updated 10.49 today http://www.metoffice.com/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html Sprocket it has snowed with even -2 uppers like I said its a marginal event you may need your wellington boots and brolly especially down Hertingfordbury Park and I agree it may be no more that a slushy mess. Its going to stall over our Region so it may start as rain and then fall as snow,(Met.Office link) I wont post the runs from 6am this morning because it seems to me a lot of you have access to the charts already. Have you looked at the latest runs and charts for next weekend Sprocket I dont mean the League table lol. [;)]Mind you Chelsea are doing well. Lets hope the match will be on and we can put another 9 goals past them like we did to them on that famous day 30th September a couple of seasons ago. The early warnings were posted back on the 6th February, I try to provide members on this forum what the weather may turn out like with the projected model runs for Hertford. This was not a forecast for snow I was letting the forum know in advance of possible conditions with a 50% or more confidence rate. I have said in many of my posts that things can change from this far out of a timescale. I also said that this week could be colder and snowy for many than what the Newspapers were making headlines of for last weeks weather http://www.metoffice.com/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html (Kent apart) Its all down to nowcasting in these synoptics setups. Edit: Just for the record I have checked and it was -5 uppers during last February's snow event [:0]
Reply ID 71933
quote:Thats good news - I was worried there for a bit [|)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy Just for the record I have checked and it was -5 uppers during last February's snow event [:0]
Reply ID 71935
So was I Leo, so was I..... [xx(]
Reply ID 71938
quote:Have a look here James007 http://www.its.caltech.edu/~atomic/snowcrystals/primer/primer.htm The snowflakes that gave us the laying snow in December were some of the largest flakes I have ever seen,they reminded me of the snow flakes back in the Winter of 1978-1979. Now what type of flakes will fall from the sky in Hertford next Tuesday? (if any) My guess is they will definitely be a white colour unlike Vancouver. [:D]
Originally posted by James007
For the record, doesn't it have to be under minus (-) 5 for that powdery stuff that can't make a snow ball?
Reply ID 71942
quote:You may be correct Sprocket rain in Hertford and a bit of a slush if that, have a good read of this. So who is going to be correct this time The Met.Office or you and other amateur forecasters. Its going to be very interesting its all down to nowcasting nearer the time imho on such a marginal event. [:D] Edit:looks to me that the latest models are in agreement with the human input weather forecast from the Met. office earlier the ensembles show this aswell, its a ever changing situation and I maintain my thought its purely down to nowcasting on Tuesday. oh dear [:0] The following are the thoughts of a experienced weather forecaster taken from a weather forum it explains in detail, this backs up your post what the weather will be on Tuesday/Wednesday in Hertford. I’ve been having a pretty quick look at the potential snowfall developments on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, and the synoptics behind the evolution are really quite interesting (even if they end up failing us). At this range, the various model provisions are a little up in the air and this is by no means a dead cert. However, they all seem to be flagging a similar scenario, just with slightly different positions and phasings. I’ve tried to sum up what I’m seeing at various stages in the evolution of Tuesday/Wednesday’s weather, and I’m calling upon the latest outputs (and also those of the last couple of days). First and foremost, the basic synoptics for Tuesday are pretty simple really. A cold front is moving south-eastwards across the country, forced from a parent low west of Ireland. Given the state of our part of the Northern hemisphere at the moment, it’s not surprising that any warmth surrounding the frontal system is sparse. Something of a warm sector tongue is being advected into the North Sea and southern England through Tuesday but this really will be dying on its feet. Here’s the general synoptics (based on current models) for Tuesday morning, as returning polar maritime air (rPm) is quickly replaced by polar maritime, after its brief jaunt across the UK. The interesting thing to note, however, is the surface flow across the continent through Tuesday and into Wednesday. As has been the case for quite a while now, an easterly push begins at the surface and much lower-dewpoint continental air begins to advance westwards towards our shores on Tuesday afternoon. This isn’t likely to be marked by any dynamic cloud/precipitation feature as the colder air is largely at the surface. Heights and mid level moisture do drop off though, such that 850hPa wet bulb temperatures of 4C across East Anglia on Tuesday afternoon drop close to zero by Wednesday morning, as the warmer rPm intrusion weakens. It’s as this surface air begins to undercut the Pm/rPm boundary during Tuesday night that any remaining precipitation could begin to reach the surface as snow. It’s quite an interesting feature, as it’s essentially a collision of cold fronts, with any warmer tongue of air in between lifted free of the surface and diluted. At the moment, I’d go for the situation across the SE to be the more prominent because of the larger push of cold surface dewpoints, but it’s noted that a similar boundary may form across NE Scotland. The air is already cold here so cold frontal precipitation may already be falling as snow. However, a deepening surface easterly off Norway may replicate the lower dewpoint air of the south-east, and this would only reinforce the potential for snow (especially across the Northern Isles). The current models have a number of things working in our favour, but there are a couple of knife-edge parameters that could change quickly. Firstly, it’s all about the phasing. The cold front heading south-eastwards is going to stall with time as the boundary between the rPm and Pm airmasses is moderated and the steering flow becomes aligned with the front itself. If this occurs earlier, then the arrival of the surface cold air from the east would not be meeting sufficiently heavy precipitation, and would likely die out as the rain/snow evaporates before reaching the ground. For snow, we really need the phasing of the cold front to coincide with the arrival of continental air, such that the precipitation is still sufficiently intense for snow to sea level. This will be largely dictated by the amount of mid level moisture within the narrow rPm snout ahead of the cold front. If that’s washed out pretty quickly then there just won’t be a sufficient supply of moisture to keep the precipitation going. Once undercut by the cold air, the precipitation will rapidly decay anyway, and if it’s already light when this starts to happen, it’ll be curtains for any snow at ground level. The position of the cold front is also important, and there’s currently some disagreement about how far east it will progress before it dies away (UKMO most progressive with the eastward limit of the front). I note that the UKMO are going for a standard 5cm at the moment, largely for SE England and NE Scotland. The current ECM fails to bring the front quite so far east, but still gives 2-3cm across parts of the Midlands. My feelings are mixed at the moment. I’m not seeing enough support for a significant snowfall event, but I am encouraged to see the potential snowfall amounts indicated in the two big hitting models. As an aside, the current ECM has a much bigger snowfall event across Wales and NW England on Thursday but that’s for another time. I’m not holding out much hope for Tuesday really but I would be advising people of a potential wet covering of a few centimetres in a very short space of time (as are the UKMO), allbeit locally.
Originally posted by sprocketquote:Sorry to disagree with you Dell Boy but the only early warning i think we need for the coming week IMHO is to wear our wellies and take a brolly! We had 850 uppers of -8 today yet only precipitation was rain...uppers are predicted above -5 for most of the coming week on latest models...really cant see anything more than a bit of slush...if that! [xx(]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
This is the latest model run: very cold upper temperatures to our SE heads into our Region and East Anglia during Monday evening, this was my concern in a earlier post. The precipitation heading down from the North will turn to snow as it heads into our Region during the early hours of Tuesday morning. The precipitation level is quite high. If the models are showing this over the weekend you will see a weather warning issued from the Met. Office. They wont issue any warnings this far out in timescale because it could all change. So atm Im looking at this event with foresight, this is not a forecast for Tuesday, it could all show a different set up on the next run. [IMG]http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Edit: I posted this 0n February 6th, 'I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning'. The latest ensembles are showing deep cold and the UKMO charts are now showing snow for our Region. I expect snow warnings to be issued in the next couple of days unless there is a major downgrade. Next week looks likely to turn out a very snowy week in Hertford atm. Snow depths could be quite deep. [?] I will keep you updated of any downgrades or possible snow depths, imo at present it will be quite an event. [:0] We wont know for sure from the B.B.C. weather forecast until 24 hours before so watch the forecast [;)] or check here for more details. [:D] I did hear Peter Cockroft on the local SE news say sleet turning to snow on Tuesday. Here is a link for that. http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Click play on the Weather forecast video.
Reply ID 71946
[img]http://www.freesmileys.org/smileys/smiley-angry020.gif[/img]
Reply ID 71949
quote:Does that mean rain then DellBoy?
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:You may be correct Sprocket rain in Hertford and a bit of a slush if that, have a good read of this. So who is going to be correct this time The Met.Office or you and other amateur forecasters. Its going to be very interesting its all down to nowcasting nearer the time imho on such a marginal event. [:D] Edit:looks to me that the latest models are in agreement with the human input weather forecast from the Met. office earlier the ensembles show this aswell, its a ever changing situation and I maintain my thought its purely down to nowcasting on Tuesday. oh dear [:0] The following are the thoughts of a experienced weather forecaster taken from a weather forum it explains in detail, this backs up your post what the weather will be on Tuesday/Wednesday in Hertford. I’ve been having a pretty quick look at the potential snowfall developments on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, and the synoptics behind the evolution are really quite interesting (even if they end up failing us). At this range, the various model provisions are a little up in the air and this is by no means a dead cert. However, they all seem to be flagging a similar scenario, just with slightly different positions and phasings. I’ve tried to sum up what I’m seeing at various stages in the evolution of Tuesday/Wednesday’s weather, and I’m calling upon the latest outputs (and also those of the last couple of days). First and foremost, the basic synoptics for Tuesday are pretty simple really. A cold front is moving south-eastwards across the country, forced from a parent low west of Ireland. Given the state of our part of the Northern hemisphere at the moment, it’s not surprising that any warmth surrounding the frontal system is sparse. Something of a warm sector tongue is being advected into the North Sea and southern England through Tuesday but this really will be dying on its feet. Here’s the general synoptics (based on current models) for Tuesday morning, as returning polar maritime air (rPm) is quickly replaced by polar maritime, after its brief jaunt across the UK. The interesting thing to note, however, is the surface flow across the continent through Tuesday and into Wednesday. As has been the case for quite a while now, an easterly push begins at the surface and much lower-dewpoint continental air begins to advance westwards towards our shores on Tuesday afternoon. This isn’t likely to be marked by any dynamic cloud/precipitation feature as the colder air is largely at the surface. Heights and mid level moisture do drop off though, such that 850hPa wet bulb temperatures of 4C across East Anglia on Tuesday afternoon drop close to zero by Wednesday morning, as the warmer rPm intrusion weakens. It’s as this surface air begins to undercut the Pm/rPm boundary during Tuesday night that any remaining precipitation could begin to reach the surface as snow. It’s quite an interesting feature, as it’s essentially a collision of cold fronts, with any warmer tongue of air in between lifted free of the surface and diluted. At the moment, I’d go for the situation across the SE to be the more prominent because of the larger push of cold surface dewpoints, but it’s noted that a similar boundary may form across NE Scotland. The air is already cold here so cold frontal precipitation may already be falling as snow. However, a deepening surface easterly off Norway may replicate the lower dewpoint air of the south-east, and this would only reinforce the potential for snow (especially across the Northern Isles). The current models have a number of things working in our favour, but there are a couple of knife-edge parameters that could change quickly. Firstly, it’s all about the phasing. The cold front heading south-eastwards is going to stall with time as the boundary between the rPm and Pm airmasses is moderated and the steering flow becomes aligned with the front itself. If this occurs earlier, then the arrival of the surface cold air from the east would not be meeting sufficiently heavy precipitation, and would likely die out as the rain/snow evaporates before reaching the ground. For snow, we really need the phasing of the cold front to coincide with the arrival of continental air, such that the precipitation is still sufficiently intense for snow to sea level. This will be largely dictated by the amount of mid level moisture within the narrow rPm snout ahead of the cold front. If that’s washed out pretty quickly then there just won’t be a sufficient supply of moisture to keep the precipitation going. Once undercut by the cold air, the precipitation will rapidly decay anyway, and if it’s already light when this starts to happen, it’ll be curtains for any snow at ground level. The position of the cold front is also important, and there’s currently some disagreement about how far east it will progress before it dies away (UKMO most progressive with the eastward limit of the front). I note that the UKMO are going for a standard 5cm at the moment, largely for SE England and NE Scotland. The current ECM fails to bring the front quite so far east, but still gives 2-3cm across parts of the Midlands. My feelings are mixed at the moment. I’m not seeing enough support for a significant snowfall event, but I am encouraged to see the potential snowfall amounts indicated in the two big hitting models. As an aside, the current ECM has a much bigger snowfall event across Wales and NW England on Thursday but that’s for another time. I’m not holding out much hope for Tuesday really but I would be advising people of a potential wet covering of a few centimetres in a very short space of time (as are the UKMO), allbeit locally.
Originally posted by sprocketquote:Sorry to disagree with you Dell Boy but the only early warning i think we need for the coming week IMHO is to wear our wellies and take a brolly! We had 850 uppers of -8 today yet only precipitation was rain...uppers are predicted above -5 for most of the coming week on latest models...really cant see anything more than a bit of slush...if that! [xx(]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
This is the latest model run: very cold upper temperatures to our SE heads into our Region and East Anglia during Monday evening, this was my concern in a earlier post. The precipitation heading down from the North will turn to snow as it heads into our Region during the early hours of Tuesday morning. The precipitation level is quite high. If the models are showing this over the weekend you will see a weather warning issued from the Met. Office. They wont issue any warnings this far out in timescale because it could all change. So atm Im looking at this event with foresight, this is not a forecast for Tuesday, it could all show a different set up on the next run. [IMG]http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Edit: I posted this 0n February 6th, 'I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning'. The latest ensembles are showing deep cold and the UKMO charts are now showing snow for our Region. I expect snow warnings to be issued in the next couple of days unless there is a major downgrade. Next week looks likely to turn out a very snowy week in Hertford atm. Snow depths could be quite deep. [?] I will keep you updated of any downgrades or possible snow depths, imo at present it will be quite an event. [:0] We wont know for sure from the B.B.C. weather forecast until 24 hours before so watch the forecast [;)] or check here for more details. [:D] I did hear Peter Cockroft on the local SE news say sleet turning to snow on Tuesday. Here is a link for that. http://i49.tinypic.com/2qjabn8.png[/IMG] Click play on the Weather forecast video.
Reply ID 71953
Lol. what its saying is that the timing of the cold front needs to be within a certain timeframe of the heaviest precipitation around our Region (East Anglia?) If the cold doesnt reach us during that time then obviously it will be rain, the Met.Office are going on the chance of a longer timeframe because the precipitation is forecasted to stall over us in the SE and East Anglia Regions. Thats why the BBC-Met.Office are forecasting snow for us. Its not a classic set up of snowy conditions and my personal opinion is that it will start to fall as rain and sleet to begin with and it will turn to snow later Tuesday evening and into Wednesday morning. Because its quite heavy PPN the snow will settle over wet ground so for a while we may have several cms of laying snow on Wednesday but slowly melting during the afternoon and freezing up again early evening. Its very close to call and thats why I keep saying its a nowcast forecast by that I mean within a couple of hours timeframe, the Met. office seem sure of it turning to snow and to be on the safe side somewhere in the SE and East Anglia will see 5 cm of laying snow.In general terms they always tend to use 5 cm as a strarting point, 1 just cant predict the amounts until a few hours before thats why its called localised accumalations. SPROCKET may be right with his views no more than a slush mess if that, however the latest runs suggest the cold hitting us just as the precipitation hits us from the North. Hmm a very difficult 1 to call until nearer the time a forecasters nightmare setup and any 1 who guesses for snow will tell you I told you so and any 1 who guesses sleet and rain will tell you I told you so. [:p] I will know more nearer the time and update on here. [?] Here is a great example of good weather forecasting: http://www.dallasnews.com/sharedcontent/dws/news/localnews/stories/DN-snowforecast_13met.ART.State.Edition2.4c0a770.html
Reply ID 71956
Thanks for that last post, Dell Boy, I actually understood it ! Any chance of a brief one-line summary at the end of each post just to help me out? I need to know these things....[;)]
Reply ID 71961
NEWS JUST IN. IT MIGHT BE COLD AND RAIN AND SLEET A BIT IN ENGLAND IN FEBRUARY. Who'd have thought?[:0]
Reply ID 71962
Only February aubend I thought that was for at least 10 months of the year? lol. You may not know this but February is Hertfords most snowy month over the last 20 years.
Reply ID 71963
January brings the snow, Makes your feet and fingers glow. February's ice and sleet Freeze the toes tight off your feet. Welcome March with Wintry wind Would thou wert not so unkind! April brings the sweet spring showers, On and on for hours and hours. Farmers fear unkindly May Frost by night and hail by day. June just rains and never stops Thirty days and spoils the crops. In July the sun is hot. Is it shining? No, it's not. August, cold and dank and wet, Brings more rain than any yet. Bleak September's mist and mud Is enough to chill the blood. Then October adds a gale, Wind and slush and rain and hail. Dark November brings the fog Should not do it to a dog. Freezing wet December, then Bloody January again! Sorted.
Reply ID 71975
The Met. office have removed the warnings for Hertfordshire at 10.14am, the higher risk of snow as the front stalls is now Bedfordshire,Cambridgeshire and Norfolk according to the Met.Office. This is a ever changing situation I dont think we can exclude Hertford from this atm and I expect further changes during the next 24 hrs. Here is the latest precipitation chart: It all depends on the timing of the cold hitting over us, its so difficult to forecast where it will fall as snow for weather forecasters. [IMG]http://i46.tinypic.com/o9ratj.png[/IMG]
Reply ID 71981
The met office seem to have taken the snow right out of the Hertford forecast now..........lets hope they are right!
Reply ID 71982
quote:The snow currently falling on North Road must be just my imagination then [:D]
Originally posted by Marilyn
The met office seem to have taken the snow right out of the Hertford forecast now..........lets hope they are right!
Reply ID 71983
quote:Not sure that little bit really counted[:I]..............lets just hope there is no more, I hate the stuff if I have to go out early as I do tomorrow, looks lovely through the window but thats about all!
Originally posted by Aellequote:The snow currently falling on North Road must be just my imagination then [:D]
Originally posted by Marilyn
The met office seem to have taken the snow right out of the Hertford forecast now..........lets hope they are right!
Reply ID 71984
This weather channel has a weather radar map. It looks like a thin belt of rain/sleet/snow going eastward. We had it in St Albans a while ago, but it is clear now. Click on Regional Radar (Rain) on the map. http://uk.weather.com/weather/today-Hertford-UKXX1871?fromSearch=true
Reply ID 72043
quote:I think it maybe Flanders and Swann, but I cannot find an example. Here are some - I like them all, but mostly Slow Train. 1960's 20 tons of TNT http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48waPFTXJvY Slow train http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48waPFTXJvY Have some Maderia M'Dear http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48waPFTXJvY
January brings the snow, Makes your feet and fingers glow.
Reply ID 72050
The Met. Office. have issued a weather warning for Hertfordshire, a moderate risk of heavy snow today and tomorrow, looking at the latest runs and charts we could see some snow in Hertford especially next Monday is much a higher risk atm. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html
Reply ID 72052
I ran through a cloud of gnats on the Cole Green Way yesterday afternoon - it really felt like Spring! Too soon to cast a clout, then Dell? BTW, thanks for this thread, I find it really interesting [:)]
Reply ID 72053
Your welcome Rachel, its raining at the moment but the warning has been issued because it may turn to snow later in the day, the marginal situation comes into play again where ever the cold pool is when the precipitation is around. Other Regions of the country have had a overnight fall of snow and its snowing in the West atm. This may not result to anything but its best to be aware, dew points are not favourable for snow just yet however its falling down the scale now.
Reply ID 72056
quote:My bees were out in their hundreds yesterday, stretching their wings and having a good clear-out. Snuggled up again today though.
Originally posted by Rachel
I ran through a cloud of gnats on the Cole Green Way yesterday afternoon - it really felt like Spring!
Reply ID 72062
I posted this on the 6th February.... 'I think its worth mentioning as from the 14th February it looks like we could see temperatures dropping even lower than the previous week and due to other weather patterns developing it may be a very snowy week so this is a early warning'... sorry I got it wrong - 30 miles North of us and they have Snow 8 cm deep. Oh well I think I will give up on this thread now, Sprocket was right. Thats all folks, I wont be posting in this thread anymore because I don't want to be blamed for my wrong forecasts even though it was 12 days ago, you wont get that info on the BBC when I posted the warning. No more snow for Hertford, Winters over relax every 1 only rain. Ha ha.
Reply ID 72072
I for one hope you do carry on posting Dell boy, great thread that is very popular. people want to be warned if there is a risk of severe weather that may affect their daily agenda, regardless of whether it materialises or not. This week we could easily of had a couple of dumpings but for a degree or two... like you have mentioned..so marginal! Might see you at the game saturday...weather permitting.
Reply ID 72082
quote:Thankyou Sprocket, yes you are right in saying this week has been a marginal snow event, maybe I have been a bit too hesitant with predicting Winter is over. [;)] Next week somewhere in the UK will have a huge amount of snow but exactly where is difficult to say atm lots of potential in the model runs with masses amounts of troughs developing. I think next weeks potential for snowfall is more widespread so yes I shall keep posting on the thread until Winter is over and continue to keep folk of Hertford up to date. In the longger term the forecast for March doesnt look good either, no sign of Spring yet. I'm afraid the models are showing trends towards cold and below average temperatures again with no midler air getting through the block of colder air. This Sunday evening looks likely we may see the rain turning increasingly to snow overnight into Monday morning and after that who knows. We need a win on Saturday lets hope so.
Originally posted by sprocket
I for one hope you do carry on posting Dell boy, great thread that is very popular. people want to be warned if there is a risk of severe weather that may affect their daily agenda, regardless of whether it materialises or not. This week we could easily of had a couple of dumpings but for a degree or two... like you have mentioned..so marginal! Might see you at the game saturday...weather permitting.
Reply ID 72111
I think its safe to say we wont see any snow next week in Hertford reading from the latest model runs it will be rain. (subject to change) If the low progresses 80 miles further East then we will be in the frame for plenty of heavy snow but I cant see this happening. Parts of the Midlands and Northern England are likely to have quite heavy falls of snow so if you are travelling next week be aware. EDIT: As I said subject to change new warning issued AT 16.34 Today expect further changes. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html EDIT: New update from the Met. Office http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/ee/ee_forecast_warnings.html I think those areas that recieved snow last week are more at risk again on Monday for us in Hertford another marginal event however there is lots of precip around so lots of rain if it does not fall as snow. If you are wathching the BBC forecasts on News 24 atm they have not been updated yet according to the latest model runs, the Met. Office have the forecast more up to date. I have a feeling that human input for the weather forecast will play a much bigger part this week because the models are a muddle atm.
Reply ID 72131
WARNING possible snow arriving in the next few hours on its Northern edge could possibly be a covering in the morning, it should turn back to rain and sleet. This is a very marginal situation so just be aware tonight and tomorrow morning. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=ukuk&MODELL=nae&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prty&HH=24&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&WMO=
Reply ID 72139
Looks like there is potential for some rain/snow tomorrow morning, according to the Met Office too. Thanks for all the weather updates, Dell Boy.
Reply ID 72140
If you are travelling this morning just be aware that other areas in the County are reporting 4-5 cm of laying snow atm so plan your journey especially if you are travelling a few miles North out of Hertford.
Reply ID 72141
no snow at buntingford but loads at royston!
Reply ID 72146
quote:Coming down quite heavily in Hatfield
Originally posted by codek2
no snow at buntingford but loads at royston!
Reply ID 72147
quote:and in Hertford......
Originally posted by spitfirequote:Coming down quite heavily in Hatfield
Originally posted by codek2
no snow at buntingford but loads at royston!
Reply ID 72148
Just hoping it turns to rain soon and disappears.............came down fast 8 to 9 am
Reply ID 72149
Its quite slushy out there so should melt away soon[:D]
Reply ID 72151
seems to be clearing now. :( http://uksnow.benmarsh.co.uk/ That was a mass of points an hour ago, now hardly anything. oh well!
Reply ID 72152
Still snowing out.
Reply ID 72198
Heavy snow DB's gone very quiet.
Reply ID 72200
quote:What? Heavy snow in Hertford this afternoon?
Originally posted by Steve
Heavy snow DB's gone very quiet.
Reply ID 72201
quote:Yes. It started to settle but with the temperature hovering around zero most has either melted or turned to slush now. [img]../images/forum/23776_1369012952346_1442384472_31059431_5778780_n.jpg[/img]
Originally posted by Ewoowarquote:What? Heavy snow in Hertford this afternoon?
Originally posted by Steve
Heavy snow DB's gone very quiet.
Reply ID 72203
quote:Lol Steve, yes Im speechless today I just cant believe the model runs projections for next week.[:0] I will let you know nearer the time, I dont think THIS WEEKS wet snow will amount to much in Hertford, it may be different next week though but thats a long way out. Weather forecasters can barely predict the weather 12 hours ahead correct never mind next week during these synoptic set ups. It may feel warmer tomorrow but dont be fooled its going to get colder again by day and freezing night time temperatures next week, I wont mention heavy settling snow until closer to the time though. Ha ha.
Originally posted by Steve
Heavy snow DB's gone very quiet.
Reply ID 72227
I posted this on the 19th February: 'Next week somewhere in the UK will have a huge amount of snow but exactly where is difficult to say atm lots of potential in the model runs with masses amounts of troughs developing.' Scotland are expecting up to 50cm of snow, wow could you imagine that in Hertford? Sunday could be rather nasty a storm is heading our way and the wind speeds could exceed 60 m.p.h., expect torrential downpours with possible flooding, thats just Sunday I will update the weather forecast at the weekend for the week ahead atm it doesnt look good Im afraid.
Reply ID 72232
quote:Great. All I need to do now is find out who to contact to ensure the sluice gates in Hertford are opened so we don't flood again.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
I posted this on the 19th February: 'Next week somewhere in the UK will have a huge amount of snow but exactly where is difficult to say atm lots of potential in the model runs with masses amounts of troughs developing.' Scotland are expecting up to 50cm of snow, wow could you imagine that in Hertford? Sunday could be rather nasty a storm is heading our way and the wind speeds could exceed 60 m.p.h., expect torrential downpours with possible flooding, thats just Sunday I will update the weather forecast at the weekend for the week ahead atm it doesnt look good Im afraid.
Reply ID 72233
quote:Thor has spoken!
Originally posted by Dell Boy
I posted this on the 19th February: 'Next week somewhere in the UK will have a huge amount of snow but exactly where is difficult to say atm lots of potential in the model runs with masses amounts of troughs developing.' Scotland are expecting up to 50cm of snow, wow could you imagine that in Hertford? Sunday could be rather nasty a storm is heading our way and the wind speeds could exceed 60 m.p.h., expect torrential downpours with possible flooding, thats just Sunday I will update the weather forecast at the weekend for the week ahead atm it doesnt look good Im afraid.
Reply ID 72236
The storm forecasted to hit Southern England on Sunday has been downgraded on the latest model runs so relax for now unless you are travelling to Scotland they have 2ft of Snow. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/scotland/8536970.stm
Reply ID 72329
Well its been a lovely change during the past couple of days but Im afraid the early Spring warmer weather is going to go on hold again from Friday onwards, it looks like it could turn pretty cold with very cold winds. [:(]
Reply ID 72343
Oh, Dell Boy -- does this mean I have to find the long-johns again - or is it not going to be that bad?*J*[img]http://www.smilies-and-more.de/pics/smilies/nature/049.gif[/img]
Reply ID 72369
quote:Dell-Boy got the flooding right. The opening of the sluice gates is controlled by the Environment Agency and needs a call from members of the public on 08708 506 506.
Originally posted by Ewoowarquote:Great. All I need to do now is find out who to contact to ensure the sluice gates in Hertford are opened so we don't flood again.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
I posted this on the 19th February: 'Next week somewhere in the UK will have a huge amount of snow but exactly where is difficult to say atm lots of potential in the model runs with masses amounts of troughs developing.' Scotland are expecting up to 50cm of snow, wow could you imagine that in Hertford? Sunday could be rather nasty a storm is heading our way and the wind speeds could exceed 60 m.p.h., expect torrential downpours with possible flooding, thats just Sunday I will update the weather forecast at the weekend for the week ahead atm it doesnt look good Im afraid.
Reply ID 72508
At last there is signs of the weather turning milder by the end of next week temperatures between 10-15 c. and it looks like the trend could continue. Its been a very long Winter lets hope we have a good summer.
Reply ID 72808
Its quite mild atm but it will turn cooler next week with average day time temperatures in a chilly breeze. Frost's at night so gardeners beware afterall its only March, the Daffodils are late this year in flowering. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/7456054/Coldest-winter-in-30-years-hits-daffodil-festival.html
Reply ID 72990
Oh dear get your thermals out again for next week (Wednesday) and it looks likely that the Easter weekend could be very cold, dare I mention that white stuff again no thats not possible surely? B.S.T. begins this w/e.
Reply ID 73157
The Easter W/E looks like being unsettled with more rain at times, Monday looks to be the best day and woohoo by next W/E temperatures could reach 20c. Get the B.B.Q s dusted.
Reply ID 73347
I hope you all have been making the most of the recent warm weather, the rest of the week looks rather cloudy and cooler however there are signs within the next 10 to 14 days that it could realy be heating up. Get the sun tan lotion at the ready and wipe off that false tan.
Reply ID 73500
Can we expect the volcanic eruption in Iceland to have any effect on our weather? I know that the plume has led to a planned closure of airspace over Scotland, but will the effects extend as far as SE England? http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/aviation/vaac/vaacuk_vag.html
Reply ID 73665
quote:The only plume the SE will see by the middle of next week is a very warm Spanish 1. [;)] It's going to be very warm. [8D] [8D]
Originally posted by Steve
Can we expect the volcanic eruption in Iceland to have any effect on our weather? I know that the plume has led to a planned closure of airspace over Scotland, but will the effects extend as far as SE England? http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/aviation/vaac/vaacuk_vag.html
Reply ID 73875
Lovely weather today and tomorrow even warmer unfortunatly it wont last into the Bank Holiday weekend. The models suggest much cooler conditions with even a possibility of hail showers but mainly further North. Sunday may be wet in Hertford but its too early to say for sure atm. A slightly better day on Monday and then back to near normal temperatures. Gardeners beware those tender plants may need some protection over the weekend. The month of May looks likely to be a very dry month with above average temperatures, so a temporary break to the good weather a typical Bank Holiday weekend cool and probably wet on Sunday. Updates later.
Reply ID 73883
quote:Allegedly it was not volcanic ash at all causing the flight cancellations - I have it on good authority that it was in fact dust. Police are actively seeking the chap who may have recently cleaned the Arsenal trophy cabinet.
Originally posted by Steve
Can we expect the volcanic eruption in Iceland to have any effect on our weather? I know that the plume has led to a planned closure of airspace over Scotland, but will the effects extend as far as SE England?
Reply ID 74063
Currently we have a blocking over the UK and it's very stubborn to move away and allow milder air to move over us. It will be a little milder in the next few days by day but the night time temperatures will drop to around 3 to 4 degrees, so feeling quite cold. Don't put the tender bedding plants out in the garden just yet, next week doesn't look much of a improvement either a.t.m. it looks like another cold Northerly will reach us in Hertford with cold rain again at the weekend and snow on higher ground in some parts of the UK. Not a good start to May and a testing time for gardeners.
Reply ID 74128
quote:So then DB -- not really a good start for the gardeners yet?[img]http://www.smilies-and-more.de/pics/smilies/nature/042.gif[/img] Glad you mentioned about those tender bedding plants - many folk (myself included) have planted before the end of those frosty nights and have lost them overnight! I'm guessing in view of the forecast, we should wait until after the Whitsun weekend to plant out?? *J*[IMG]http://www.smilies-and-more.de/pics/smilies/nature/042.gif[/img]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Currently we have a blocking over the UK and it's very stubborn to move away and allow milder air to move over us. It will be a little milder in the next few days by day but the night time temperatures will drop to around 3 to 4 degrees, so feeling quite cold. Don't put the tender bedding plants out in the garden just yet, next week doesn't look much of a improvement either a.t.m. it looks like another cold Northerly will reach us in Hertford with cold rain again at the weekend and snow on higher ground in some parts of the UK. Not a good start to May and a testing time for gardeners.
Reply ID 74131
quote:"nere cast a clout till May be out" is true this year!
Originally posted by Jayceequote:So then DB -- not really a good start for the gardeners yet?[img]http://www.smilies-and-more.de/pics/smilies/nature/042.gif[/img] Glad you mentioned about those tender bedding plants - many folk (myself included) have planted before the end of those frosty nights and have lost them overnight! I'm guessing in view of the forecast, we should wait until after the Whitsun weekend to plant out?? *J*[IMG]http://www.smilies-and-more.de/pics/smilies/nature/042.gif[/img]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Currently we have a blocking over the UK and it's very stubborn to move away and allow milder air to move over us. It will be a little milder in the next few days by day but the night time temperatures will drop to around 3 to 4 degrees, so feeling quite cold. Don't put the tender bedding plants out in the garden just yet, next week doesn't look much of a improvement either a.t.m. it looks like another cold Northerly will reach us in Hertford with cold rain again at the weekend and snow on higher ground in some parts of the UK. Not a good start to May and a testing time for gardeners.
Reply ID 74145
I see someone at the Mercury has fallen asleep on the watch of the "Weather Watch" on page 2 again. Today's issue is forecasting a light snow shower on Sunday. They did this several weeks ago as well.
Reply ID 74153
This weekend will be cold and there is a chance of sleet showers. I mentioned in a earlier post that last weekend there was a chance of hail showers and we did have a couple of hail showers all be it only for 1 or 2 minutes. Marilyn is spot on with her post, I have sweetcorn, French beans and runnerbeans all ready to be planted on the allotment but I shall be patient.
Reply ID 74169
quote:Yes, but even their predicted day time temperatures are 5 to 7C with night temperatures of -2 to 0C. It is obviously an old forecast, just like they did a few weeks ago.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
This weekend will be cold and there is a chance of sleet showers. I mentioned in a earlier post that last weekend there was a chance of hail showers and we did have a couple of hail showers all be it only for 1 or 2 minutes. Marilyn is spot on with her post, I have sweetcorn, French beans and runnerbeans all ready to be planted on the allotment but I shall be patient.
Reply ID 74190
Lol, yes the GFS model has been projecting much lower temperatures of late, GFS 12Z goes for a slackening northerly with sunshine and showers and frosty nights, but the northerly isn't as potent as shown on earlier runs, with sleet/snow showers at low levels on the 10th/11th likely to be restricted to Scotland and perhaps north-east England, and after that it slowly warms up. GFS showing 6 degress max. for the SE over the weekend on the latest run also but the ECM runs have been more accurate and temperatures are more likely to be around 9 to 10 degrees here in Hertford.
Reply ID 74249
The weather isn't very nice atm, it's going to remain very cool by day and frost's next week, some good news though make a date in your diary for the 18th of May.
Reply ID 74271
Are you ready for the summer? At long last it looks very promising from the 18th-20th May and onwards, we could have a mini heatwave get the cooling fans checked out you will probably need them.
Reply ID 74277
quote:Brilliant news DB!!! [IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG] I better start thinking about a crash diet and some excercises for when I un-earth my summer dresses from the attic! *J* [IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Are you ready for the summer? At long last it looks very promising from the 18th-20th May and onwards, we could have a mini heatwave get the cooling fans checked out you will probably need them.
Reply ID 74278
It's early days but the signs are there, I will keep this updated. Talking of signs and dresses will you be carrying the 'Jack FM' banner in a few weeks then? [;)] [8D]
Reply ID 74284
Dell Boy - thanks for these updates. You are the most accurate of all the ones I read and it really helps to have some clue about the likely weather so I can plan my life !![8D]
Reply ID 74285
I agree, its great to get an accurate weather forecast on here. Is there any chance of you doing a monthly bbq weekend weather watch watch? maybe rating the days from 1 to 10.
Reply ID 74286
Thankyou, however you must remember that things can change when the forecast is 10 to 14 days away but temperatures are back to the seasonal norm over the weekend and like I said there are signs of the Azores high heading over the Southern half of Britain later in the week atm which will make it very warm. Edit: It's snowing now in many parts of Northern England. [:0] and in East Yorkshire it has been the coldest May night in at least 27 years with a min temp of 0.1C. Back to Hertford, over the next couple of nights I think you may need to turn on your central heating, overnight temperatures will be a min of to 2 - 0 degrees.
Reply ID 74318
It's going to become a lot milder by the weekend here in Hertford but if you would like some nice warmth consider this for your next holiday destination. http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/58 That's crazy weather. And back in the UK http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/58
Reply ID 74356
Well the milder weather has returned but they MIGHT be another chilly Northerly in around 9 days time not to worry it wont be quite as cold as recently, the temperatures wont fall away too much IF this Northerly materializes. Enjoy the warm weather this weekend and next week its well overdue and most welcome for gardeners in particular.
Reply ID 74373
I am told that the ash cloud from Iceland seems to have appeared again.
Reply ID 74374
quote:I could provide a weekly bbq weather watch if thats any help? I'm assuming 10 is the highest and if it's the weekend bbq's weather you would like to know I would give a 10 for next weekend. We could have temperatures reaching 26 degrees in Hertford or even higher next weekend. [8D] [8D] [:)]
Originally posted by Victor Meldrew
I agree, its great to get an accurate weather forecast on here. Is there any chance of you doing a monthly bbq weekend weather watch watch? maybe rating the days from 1 to 10.
Reply ID 74375
quote:It's certainly not going to affect the good weather over the coming days in Hertford and I expect plenty of ash floating around from bbq's. [:D]
Originally posted by James007
I am told that the ash cloud from Iceland seems to have appeared again.
Reply ID 74378
quote:Hi Dell, that would be great and yes 10 rating would be for the best possible bbq weather. On the basis that the Met office cannot seem to even forecast 24 hours ahead correctly, Im sure you would be more accurate.
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:I could provide a weekly bbq weather watch if thats any help? I'm assuming 10 is the highest and if it's the weekend bbq's weather you would like to know I would give a 10 for next weekend. We could have temperatures reaching 26 degrees in Hertford or even higher next weekend. [8D] [8D] [:)]
Originally posted by Victor Meldrew
I agree, its great to get an accurate weather forecast on here. Is there any chance of you doing a monthly bbq weekend weather watch watch? maybe rating the days from 1 to 10.
Reply ID 74386
Next Saturday is better than Sunday for a bbq because we MIGHT have a few thunderstorms brewing on Sunday and Monday of next week a lot of convection around by then. Temperatures are going to steadily rise during the week and peak on Saturday to around 25 - 27 degrees. As for the Northerly I mentioned earlier it's still showing but I hedge my prediction that the high pressure will stay with us and it will continue warm and muggy for the foreseeable future. [8D][8D][:D]
Reply ID 74405
quote:Oh dear now we are jinxed http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1278970/A-long-hot-summer-lies-ahead--say-forecasters-correctly-predicted-years-washout.html [:(] lol. Enjoy it while it last's [;)] [8D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The weather isn't very nice atm, it's going to remain very cool by day and frost's next week, some good news though make a date in your diary for the 18th of May.
Reply ID 74406
I think its becoming apparent that the rag that you linked to are desperate for news that will spoil the summer!! How much did they pay you for the story??
Reply ID 74407
quote:I hope Positive Weather Solutions haven't made the same mistake as the Met. Office did last year they predicted a bbq sizzling summer also. The Met. Office no longer forecast long range forecasts to the public so the Media need to get the story from somewhere and they are plenty that want to get noticed for the right predictions. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/7023899/Ever-wished-you-could-fire-the-Met-Office.html However the Jetstream is modelled well North of the UK now but that doesn't guarntee a great summer i.m.o. Meanwhile I'm 50p richer in not buying The Mail. [;)]
Originally posted by Golden
I think its becoming apparent that the rag that you linked to are desperate for news that will spoil the summer!! How much did they pay you for the story??
Reply ID 74408
I hope it comes right this time; many thanks for your forecasts as I often impress my golf buddies by giving them a 'heads up' about the weather taken from this thread - I just wish I'd taken the advice about last week's frost and moved my cucumber plants to a safe place!
Reply ID 74410
The real question is; Have we had the last frost now? I seem to remember we had a VERY late frost last year, possibly after this point!
Reply ID 74411
Spot on for todays forecast :)
Reply ID 74415
quote:The very warm weather won't last I/m afraid by next Tuesday the temperatures will be a lot cooler. Will we get any frost i.m.o. even if this Northerly low takes control next week I don't think they will be a frost but remember even if the temperatures at night are around 5 degrees tender plants ie. Sweetcorn, beans, cucumbers and tender bedding plants may suffer long term damage to the growing cycle. Make sure everything is hardened off before planting out. [;)] I think the real question is are we going to have a drought this year? because there is not going to be a awful lot of rain around despite tomorrows patchy rain and the weekend's storms. At least we can enjoy today and Thursday, Friday and Saturday and Sunday still warm but possible thunderstorms here in Hertford. [8D] [8D]
Originally posted by codek2
The real question is; Have we had the last frost now? I seem to remember we had a VERY late frost last year, possibly after this point!
Reply ID 74474
It's not looking good for next weeks temperatures, getting a lot cooler from next Tuesday and the Bank Holiday w/e doesn't look good either, it could be a cold 1. Updates in a couple of days.
Reply ID 74492
I'm willing to negotiate a deal with the Hertford Tourist Department send me a p.m. on here thankyou. r.o.f.l. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/dorset/8695103.stm
Reply ID 74500
Why is it so warm when we have a northerly wind? Usually the warm weather comes from the south or the west doesn't it?
Reply ID 74517
quote:That's not a easy question to answer basically it's to do with pressure the low and high's and jet streams or jet streaks. I will try to answer your question. There are two major jet streams in the northern hemisphere in winter, one called the Polar Jet and is the one usually affecting latitudes around the British Isles. The second one is the Sub Tropical Jet which is usually centred about 25 north. Jet streams are caused by large changes of temperature through the atmosphere in a relatively short distance. The bigger the gradient then the stronger the winds and the reason why the Polar Jet is often stronger in winter than summer. Due to the larger change in temperature from the pole to the warmer areas further south. In summer, with the sun north of the equator this difference in temperature is less pronounced north to south. Taking the PJ (Polar Jet) it usually flows roughly west to east, sometimes almost flat sometimes with much variation in direction. You may hear forecasters talk about meridional flow-this is when the major wind pattern takes turns both northwards and southwards. Obviously this, usually, fast flowing mass of air can transport huge amounts of air from one place to another. Changes in both direction and temperatures either side of it are probably largely responsible for the development of most weather systems. In turn these are acted upon by the major troughs and ridges that are set up by the changes in the wind flow, especially its direction. Pressure. The reverse, anticyclonic or negative vorticity advection (NVA) will occur between the crest of an upper ridge and the back of the trough, due to the same process but with a clockwise (anticyclonic) spinning motion induced into the air as it runs up around the ridge. In such areas air is descending instead of ascending. Descent is very adept at killing off convection. Thus as the upper trough passes, severe weather becomes increasingly unlikely to occur. The timing of upper troughs and ridges is thus of considerable importance in severe weather forecasting. All other parameters may be in place for a big summer thunderstorm, but then along comes an upper ridge at the best time of day for storm formation and the whole thing fizzles out. The very warm/hot weather a.t.m. is moving up from Southern Europe we have a low developing from the North which will control Northern Britains weather from as early as next Monday. Here in Hertford we may just keep the milder air until Wednesday or Thursday. I mentioned the possibility of thunderstors in Hertford on Sunday in a earlier post but I think they will develop over the Northern half of Britain as the colder air clashes with the hot air. So to summarise we don't have a dominant wind force from the North and the high pressure is in place until the low makes tracks and undercuts the high pressure which in turn will spark a few thunderstorms further North. Click here http://www.xcweather.co.uk/ and you will see the current wind direction and speeds over Britain, hover your mouse over Stansted. I hope that answers your question. [:D]
Originally posted by Steve
Why is it so warm when we have a northerly wind? Usually the warm weather comes from the south or the west doesn't it?
Reply ID 74522
What's the current forecast for next weekend? Many thanks!
Reply ID 74529
It's not looking great with a very cool NE wind, max temperature's 12 to 14 degrees but it will feel pleasant in a sheltered spot in the sunshine. Night min. temperatures falling to 5 degrees, a.t.m. remaining dry but I will update the precipitation in a couple of days. It's not great Bank Hoiday weather if you compare it to this weekends heat however the warmer weather is likely to return around the 4th 5th of June so make another date in your diary for then. Let's hope it's the start of the The "June monsoon" I certainly hope so. B.b.q. weather 4 maybe 5 if you are sheltered and a 5 only if you are b.b.q ing in the afternoon because once the sun starts to set the temperatures will fall quite rapidly. The "June monsoon" is a reference to the way patterns traditionally change from blocked to zonal as we head through June, as the Atlantic in essence "wakes up". Sometimes it sets in during early June or even late May, but most of the time it takes until the back end of June, and following a spring with repeated northerly winds, it will often switch the weather pattern away from northerlies. But even if the current pattern does continue, another spell like this one, but in July instead of May, would end up very hot.
Reply ID 74538
Thanks for that, my pregnant wife will be pleased the heat is not here to stay...for now!
Reply ID 74539
At long last we may have some decent rainfall after the Bank Holiday w/e. The June monsoon's bang on time this is good news as it's very likely the warmer weather is set to return with a prolonged settled spell of nice summer weather. Cooling off on Tuesday but feeling quite nice in the sunshine this coming week, I hope you are all enjoying the lovely weather this w/e. Caution must be taken because the uv rays from the Sun are very strong this time of year and be careful that those tender plants hardening off don't get sun scorched.
Reply ID 74579
Great news it looks like the HOT weather is set to return next week. I said in my post on the 21st May to make a date in your diary for the 4th or 5th of June. Does any 1 remember the summer of 1976 because a very similar weather pattern is occuring? This Saturday may turn out wet, we need the rain but its just unfortunate it's a Bank Holiday w/e.
Reply ID 74581
Ah the heady days of 1976 - the year we moved to Hertford. I really hope you are right, that was the best summer ever. I am going to dig out my bucket and spade in readiness [8D]
Reply ID 74587
I remember 1976. Mrs CSP was pregnant throughout it and was rather hot and bothered.
Reply ID 74590
[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathermanf1.gif[/IMG] Oh yes, DB I remember the summer of '76 rather too well! - I was pregnant with my second child and it was a scorcher! *J*[img]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathermanf1.gif[/IMG] I think there were also fires caused by the heat, and also if my memory serves me right we had standpipes for water for while. I also remember ladybirds, lots of them on the washing in the garden - and the grass was very brown!
Reply ID 74591
quote:I was a student in 1976 and did four weeks summer work at Rochfords up at Turnford - in what was then the largest area under glass in the UK. It was so hot and humid that cigarettes fell to bits before you coud light them and you had to go and stand in one of the refrigerated trailers for 5 minutes every hour or so.
Originally posted by Kitty Kat
Ah the heady days of 1976 - the year we moved to Hertford. I really hope you are right, that was the best summer ever. I am going to dig out my bucket and spade in readiness [8D]
Reply ID 74635
Update on next weeks weather: not quite as hot as last w/e with temperatures reaching around 23-25 degress max. by day next w/e, that's very comfortable warmth and falling to 12 degrees min. by night. A much brighter dry day tomorrow, temp. reaching 16-17 degress and like I said in a eralier post nice in a sheltered sunny location, Monday looks dry a.t.m. but cloudy. Tuesday looks unsettled with possible rain showers. During Wednesday we begin to notice the warmer weather returning lasting until the w/e. and hopefully beyond. Looking ahead at the 12th June for the England v U.S.A. World Cup game it looks like a scorcher a.t.m. subject to change. Watch this space. Phew
Reply ID 74657
I'm glad of the rain today and last Saturday we did need it. The next few days are going to be lovely, [:D] B.B.Q. weather a BIG 10 [8D] for the w/e. Next week's weather update in a couple of days, but I don't think the sunny warm weather will last much longer than the start of next week we may get a couple of days bringing in unsettled weather again next week. More details later.
Reply ID 74659
Gracias Dell Boy
Reply ID 74700
Next week: From Tuesday up until the w/e it will be very unsettled with rain and sunny intervals but still feeling warm with temperatures around 20 degrees. Next Saturday the warmer weather is set to return but also bringing with it possible thunderstorms next w/e, more details to follow. This Sunday I said in my last post a 'BIG 10' for b.b.q's, feeling very humid however we may get a thunderstorm or 2 if we are unlucky. It's a hit and miss situation weather forecasters can't locate where they will occur exactly until a few hours before the event. I said on the 21st May to make a date in your diary again for the 4th and 5th June, I hope you are all enjoying the great weather. I also said that the England v U.S.A. World Cup game on the 12th June could be a scorcher, it may not be quite a scorcher on that day but certainly from the 14th of June it looks like temperatures could reach 33 degrees and even higher. Some very unusual weather scenarios are occuring and this is extrmely interesting to Meteorologists. Hmmm. Update: A low is threatening to spoil the very hot weather from the 14th of June. Depending on where this low ends up over the British Isles it will influence if we have very hot temperatures or cooler temperatures with rain. I think we could end up with the heat in the South and cooler conditions in the North for the first week of the World Cup. There is a big dissagreement showing in the model runs but I think this could possibly be the the outcome. I have created my own weather forecast web page here: Please subscribe to my blog [:)] http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/
Reply ID 74787
Its been a unsettled week but the weekend looks like settling down after Fridays showery rain. Saturday - sunny intervals, temperature 20 degrees feeling warmer in the sunny spells, b.b.q. weather 7. England 3 U.S.A. 0. Sunday the same as Saturday. Next week we wont feel the heat quite yet, mainly dry and more settled than this week but a cool breeze, temperatures hovering around 19 degrees. Where has the heat gone to? The low has spoilt it for us but its still not that far away, watch this space and my blog for updates.
Reply ID 74791
quote:Personally I like it like this, I find anything above about 23 really uncomfortable and I start feeling sick, my chidren are the same. Not looking forward to the heat you say is comming but at least your predictions are letting me know when the kids and I will need to hide indoors [:)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Where has the heat gone to?
Reply ID 74792
quote:Glad I'm not the only one [:)]
Personally I like it like this, I find anything above about 23 really uncomfortable and I start feeling sick, my chidren are the same
Reply ID 74794
quote:I know what you mean, people give me the funniest looks when I say I dont like it when it's hot
Originally posted by Forbesquote:Glad I'm not the only one [:)]
Personally I like it like this, I find anything above about 23 really uncomfortable and I start feeling sick, my chidren are the same
Reply ID 74915
What happened to the sunny weekend that was forecast just 24 hours ago?
Reply ID 74916
good question; showers tomorrow and only sunny spells at best on sunday now :( pah.
Reply ID 74924
quote:The weekend begins tomorrow Steve unless you class Sunday as the first day of the week as calendar form, what weather forecast have you been reading Steve[?]
Originally posted by Steve
What happened to the sunny weekend that was forecast just 24 hours ago?
Reply ID 74925
quote:The forecast on Thursday evening was for a continuation of the warm sunny weather through Friday and the weekend.
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:The weekend begins tomorrow Steve unless you class Sunday as the first day of the week as calendar form, what weather forecast have you been reading Steve[?]
Originally posted by Steve
What happened to the sunny weekend that was forecast just 24 hours ago?
Reply ID 74926
quote:Some very nice days to come during the first part of next week. This Sunday temperatures reaching 21 to 22 degrees feeling quite nice but tomorrow the temperature will struggle to reach 18 degrees however still quite nice when the sun manages to break through the cloud. Be prepared for a shower or 2 if we are very unlucky. [;)] Quite chilly in the evenings is the main factor and the rain shower we have had in the last hour or so should retract further South this evening. Warming up in the next few days so good news, it wont get too hot though for those members that dont like it in the high 20s and low 30s, not next week anyway. [8D] [8D] Updates on my blog. [8D] http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog
Originally posted by codek2
good question; showers tomorrow and only sunny spells at best on sunday now :( pah.
Reply ID 74927
quote:Thursday night from what source?
Originally posted by Stevequote:The forecast on Thursday evening was for a continuation of the warm sunny weather through Friday and the weekend.
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:The weekend begins tomorrow Steve unless you class Sunday as the first day of the week as calendar form, what weather forecast have you been reading Steve[?]
Originally posted by Steve
What happened to the sunny weekend that was forecast just 24 hours ago?
Reply ID 75067
Wow, I did say the heat wasn't that far away, its very hot but is it going to last? more details here: http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog Edit: Taken from a earlier post of mine 'I also said that the England v U.S.A. World Cup game on the 12th June could be a scorcher, it may not be quite a scorcher on that day but certainly from the 14th of June it looks like temperatures could reach 33 degrees and even higher.' Perhaps I should have said for the England v Germany game on the 27th June it will be a scorcher, ha ha. [:D] [8D]
Reply ID 75201
Gemipicorn and Forbes I hope you are coping ok with the heat. Hmmm, I wonder how long the hot weather will continue and has any 1 heard of a hosepipe ban in Hertford yet? http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/10443636.stm
Reply ID 75202
quote:It sounds to me you enjoy the hot weather, it may be good news for you. pah I hear Gemipicorn and Forbes.[:D]
Originally posted by codek2
good question; showers tomorrow and only sunny spells at best on sunday now :( pah.
Reply ID 75203
quote:Mmm , i see a pattern here . [;)]
pah I hear Gemipicorn and Forbes.
Reply ID 75204
quote:[:(] The fans are running 24hrs a day and the rain dance is just not working!!!
Gemipicorn and Forbes I hope you are coping ok with the heat.
quote:You might be right, football + heat = [V]
Mmm , i see a pattern here .
Reply ID 75206
quote:I'm just hibernating from both. [;)] Our house is north / south facing so having all windows open and closing curtains at the appropraite time seem be helping. Rool on winter [:D]
Originally posted by Forbesquote:[:(] The fans are running 24hrs a day and the rain dance is just not working!!!
Gemipicorn and Forbes I hope you are coping ok with the heat.quote:You might be right, football + heat = [V]
Mmm , i see a pattern here .
Reply ID 75207
Its not just Gemipicorn (and Forbes) ................I hate this heat as well.........must be in the genes[;)]
Reply ID 75210
And Mrs Harran hates the heat too :)
Reply ID 75212
I can't believe people are complaining after the longest coldest winter for 30 years and two wet summers beforehand. Bring on more of this summer weather I say.
Reply ID 75214
quote:You can find out here [;)] http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast
Originally posted by Ray_by_the_Beane
I can't believe people are complaining after the longest coldest winter for 30 years and two wet summers beforehand. Bring on more of this summer weather I say.
Reply ID 75215
quote:Sorry but it's hard to get enthusiastic about something that makes me physically nauseous. Just as some people suffer from that SAD syndrome in winter, some find it hard to cope with the heat. Personally I enjoyed last summer. [:)]
Originally posted by Ray_by_the_Beane
I can't believe people are complaining after the longest coldest winter for 30 years and two wet summers beforehand. Bring on more of this summer weather I say.
Reply ID 75216
quote:Just be thankful you don't suffer as Gemipicorn does with the heat.............
Originally posted by Ray_by_the_Beane
I can't believe people are complaining after the longest coldest winter for 30 years and two wet summers beforehand. Bring on more of this summer weather I say.
Reply ID 75220
quote:Each to their own[8D] When everyones complaining about the cold during winter, I'm loving it!!![:D]
I can't believe people are complaining after the longest coldest winter for 30 years and two wet summers beforehand. Bring on more of this summer weather I say.
Reply ID 75221
quote:Get heatstroke from a lightbulb ... me [:D] Right with you there Forbes!
Originally posted by Marilyn Just be thankful you don't suffer as Gemipicorn does with the heat.............
Reply ID 75223
quote:Close the fridge door. [:D]
Originally posted by gemipicorn
Get heatstroke from a lightbulb ... me [:D]
Reply ID 75224
quote:[:D][:D]
Originally posted by Woodyquote:Close the fridge door. [:D]
Originally posted by gemipicorn
Get heatstroke from a lightbulb ... me [:D]
Reply ID 75231
I don't really mind the heat, it is the lack of air-con I hate! At least in the USA (and some other countries) you can swelter in the heat outside but you can pop indoors and feel the icy blast of the A.C. inside to cool down. Also, when you have to do the ironing, hoovering (or vacuuming, sorry), and other many household/office etc.etc. chores you can, at least get a respite, but a.t.m. my basket of ironing is piling up as i just cannot face it - but know it has to be done! *J*[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Reply ID 75233
quote:5 am is a good time to do stuff, been working at that time all week can't face it by the late afternoon/ evening [:D]
Originally posted by Jaycee
I don't really mind the heat, it is the lack of air-con I hate! At least in the USA (and some other countries) you can swelter in the heat outside but you can pop indoors and feel the icy blast of the A.C. inside to cool down. Also, when you have to do the ironing, hoovering (or vacuuming, sorry), and other many household/office etc.etc. chores you can, at least get a respite, but a.t.m. my basket of ironing is piling up as i just cannot face it - but know it has to be done! *J*[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Reply ID 75238
quote:I suffer from the heat, partly due to living on the 3rd floor i get everyone else's heat. Portable Air Con Units are an excellent investment for those that find it unbearable, mine was less than £200 and can be wheeled from room to room.
Originally posted by Jaycee
I don't really mind the heat, it is the lack of air-con I hate! At least in the USA (and some other countries) you can swelter in the heat outside but you can pop indoors and feel the icy blast of the A.C. inside to cool down. Also, when you have to do the ironing, hoovering (or vacuuming, sorry), and other many household/office etc.etc. chores you can, at least get a respite, but a.t.m. my basket of ironing is piling up as i just cannot face it - but know it has to be done! *J*[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Reply ID 75239
Hot water bottle.. filled with cold water.. then put it on your pillow, between your feet, legs, or any other hot bits! Works a treat to cool you off at bedtime.
Reply ID 75245
Thankyou very much for your idea on how to keep cool Frazer, Racquel and I shall try this especially if we have been working overtime and we are extra hot because of it. Going to try putting in ice water tonight I just hope Racquel is interested in the idea. You can buy your hot/cold water bottles down the market for a fiver, well worth it. [;)] [:0] [^]
Reply ID 75247
I eat ice cubes. Weird I know but it works. [:)]
Reply ID 75248
I mentioned this to Racquel now she wants a water bed filled with ice iceubes and iced water, I dont think we work that much overtime to justify that.
Reply ID 75249
quote:Tried the early morning thing Marilyn - but hubby is a bit of a grouch first thing and wasn't best pleased by me waking him up with the vacuum cleaner - the ironing idea is ok, I guess... but I was just looking for an excuse really! haha! *J* [img]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Originally posted by Marilynquote:5 am is a good time to do stuff, been working at that time all week can't face it by the late afternoon/ evening [:D]
Originally posted by Jaycee
I don't really mind the heat, it is the lack of air-con I hate! At least in the USA (and some other countries) you can swelter in the heat outside but you can pop indoors and feel the icy blast of the A.C. inside to cool down. Also, when you have to do the ironing, hoovering (or vacuuming, sorry), and other many household/office etc.etc. chores you can, at least get a respite, but a.t.m. my basket of ironing is piling up as i just cannot face it - but know it has to be done! *J*[IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathersun.gif[/IMG]
Reply ID 75282
I found today much more comfortable and easier to cope with. Hope fellow "heat sufferers" did to. I heard a rumor about possible thunder storms tomorrow night (YAY [:D]) any truth in it DB?
Reply ID 75289
The prospect of thunderstorms is very slim although during Sunday we may get a little rain. Like I posted on my weather blog http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast it will become cooler next week and it will be much more comfortable for yourself and others that suffer from the heat. I don't think it will be too long before the heat returns but before then a few days of rain showers later next week but still feeling on the warm side. When the heat returns I think we could see record breaking temperatures, the models have been all over the place recently but the teleconnections and ensembles are showing signs of it returning. May I suggest you subscribe to my blog for further details so you can be prepared with your cold water bottles. Im sorry to have to inform you and others that suffer from the heat but it certainly looks like they will be lots more very HOT weather to come this summer, good news for others.
Reply ID 75296
quote:Shame, I do love a good thunderstorm. [8D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The prospect of thunderstorms is very slim
quote:Oh well, at least we can prepare for it. [:(] Thanks DB
Im sorry to have to inform you and others that suffer from the heat but it certainly looks like they will be lots more very HOT weather to come this summer.
Reply ID 75298
Tried the early morning thing Marilyn - but hubby is a bit of a grouch first thing and wasn't best pleased by me waking him up with the vacuum cleaner - the ironing idea is ok, I guess... but I was just looking for an excuse really! haha! *J* [img]http://www.en.kolobok.us/smiles/he_and_she/girl_wink.gif[/img] [/quote] You know I had a feeling you were going to say that.........I have to admit I have only been doing what I have to even at 5am!!
Reply ID 75344
quote:gemipicorn dont go here for your holidays,http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/202?&search=seville&itemsPerPage=10®ion=world could this be heading to Hertford we will have to wait and see? [;)]
Originally posted by gemipicornquote:Shame, I do love a good thunderstorm. [8D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The prospect of thunderstorms is very slimquote:Oh well, at least we can prepare for it. [:(] Thanks DB
Im sorry to have to inform you and others that suffer from the heat but it certainly looks like they will be lots more very HOT weather to come this summer.
Reply ID 75345
quote:No gemipicorn is better off holidaying in Norfolk as she does.........[;)] That is too hot even for our friends who are holidaying in the sun for 3 weeks, she is a sun worshipper, even skin cancer hasn't stopped her but even she said 40 is too hot! Any idea how long this spell is going on for here? Need to try to plan for my job, it makes life difficult with fresh flowers so they are open but not dead!
gemipicorn dont go here for your holidays,http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/202?&search=seville&itemsPerPage=10®ion=world could this be heading to Hertford we will have to wait and see? [;)]
Reply ID 75353
quote:http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast My next update will be in a few days time.
Any idea how long this spell is going on for here? Need to try to plan for my job, it makes life difficult with fresh flowers so they are open but not dead!
Reply ID 75360
quote:Hmmm think I can safely say I wont be going there anytime soon [;)] At this rate I'm not going anywhere ...... to busy hibernating in the fridge!! [:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy gemipicorn dont go here for your holidays,http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/202?&search=seville&itemsPerPage=10®ion=world could this be heading to Hertford we will have to wait and see? [;)]
Reply ID 75386
Just a quick post: Warning to heat sufferers. It will become very HOT again from Friday http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast updates and a more detailed forecast will be posted on my blog within 48 hours.
Reply ID 75412
quote:Posted - 18 May 2010 : 12:05:04 I think the real question is are we going to have a drought this year? Posted - 07 Jul 2010 : 01:55:10 I think we will have 1 soon, not much sign of rain apart from today and thats not going to be enough to compensate for the dry and warm weather we have had over the past 2 months. [:(] http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/oxford/10432565.stm Now in force in parts of the North. http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/oxford/10432565.stm Posted - 29 Jun 2010 : 23:46:17 Gemipicorn and Forbes I hope you are coping ok with the heat. Hmmm, I wonder how long the hot weather will continue and has any 1 heard of a hosepipe ban in Hertford yet?
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:Posted - 18 May 2010 : 12:05:04 The very warm weather won't last I/m afraid by next Tuesday the temperatures will be a lot cooler. Will we get any frost i.m.o. even if this Northerly low takes control next week I don't think they will be a frost but remember even if the temperatures at night are around 5 degrees tender plants ie. Sweetcorn, beans, cucumbers and tender bedding plants may suffer long term damage to the growing cycle. Make sure everything is hardened off before planting out. [;)] I think the real question is are we going to have a drought this year? because there is not going to be a awful lot of rain around despite tomorrows patchy rain and the weekend's storms. At least we can enjoy today and Thursday, Friday and Saturday and Sunday still warm but possible thunderstorms here in Hertford. [8D] [8D]
Originally posted by codek2
The real question is; Have we had the last frost now? I seem to remember we had a VERY late frost last year, possibly after this point!
Reply ID 75490
quote:Did you put a bet on at the Bookmakers Paul? http://www.telegraph.co.uk/topics/weather/7877953/Met-Office-wins-new-BBC-weather-contract-despite-inaccuracy-claims.html
Originally posted by Paulquote:As I stated in another thread - The Met Office, which has provided forecasts for the BBC for nearly 90 years, has its contract with the broadcaster expiring in April. The contract has been put out to tender to ensure 'best value for money' and the BBC has begun talks with Metra, the national forecaster for New Zealand, as a possible alternative. A source close to Metra told the Sunday Times: 'The BBC is not happy with the service it has been getting from the Met Office; it thinks it’s too expensive. The new tender document states that the BBC is seeking a single forecaster to provide meteorological data and presenters for five years. Only companies with a turnover of more than £10million have been invited to apply. A fiver they go with the Met Office but at a reduced fee. (Storm in a teacup)? P
Originally posted by Dell Boy The Met. Office is in such a mess at the moment which I did mention in my first post on this thread. heads will role and the BBC now have the information provided to them out to tender.. dont you dare ask why dont I put in for it. lol
Reply ID 75491
Erm.. I dont think so it wont last long before a breakdown next Monday. We may even get quite a lot of rain slowly moving to the South East on Tuesday next week. It will be very warm with high humidity levels today and Saturday temperature around 28 degrees but in around 10 days time we may experience a prolonged heatwave with temperatures reaching 33-34 degrees. However I did post a Heat warning on the 5th July at the top of this page and on my Weather blog on the 30th June http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast but this has been slightly downgraded in the last 48 hrs. I think the highest temperatures this w/e will be over the East Anglia Region. Is Hertford in the South East Region or East Anglia? I recall this has already been discussed on another thread quite some time ago on Hertford on Line. [;)] This is todays headline [IMG]http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast Has the Express been viewing this thread or has the Chief editor from The Mercury moved on and still viewing here, maybe they are now printing Frazers tips (page 15 on this thread) on how to keep cool? [:D] Met. Office advisory taking out of proportion i.m.o. but the high humidity will make it feel very uncomfortable not a very nice kind of heat, the wrong kind of just like the wrong type of Snow I suppose.[;)] [;)] http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast
Reply ID 75495
Of course it will rain next week. I have the week off work.
Reply ID 75497
90 degrees AND Abu Hamza!? I thought the new government were supposed to change all that. [;)]
Reply ID 75503
Right, all packed, I'm off to iceland for 6 weeks! Toodle Pip! [;)]
Reply ID 75609
It's ok to come back now gemipicorn for the rest of this week but make sure you get a return ticket to go back on the 20th July.
Reply ID 75622
I woke up this morning to find the ground was all wet. Could it have been some sort of precipitation? Did anyone get any photos? Are we likely to get any other freak weather events like this in the near future?
Reply ID 75623
quote:Thank DB, re scheduled my flight [;)] I don't know about anyone else but I am loving this week [:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
It's ok to come back now gemipicorn for the rest of this week but make sure you get a return ticket to go back on the 20th July.
Reply ID 75627
quote:Absolute bliss [:)]
I don't know about anyone else but I am loving this week
Reply ID 75630
quote:Isn't it just! [:D]
Originally posted by Forbesquote:Absolute bliss [:)]
I don't know about anyone else but I am loving this week
Reply ID 75697
Could they be a MAJOR prolonged heatwave on the way soon? I bet you wouldn't think so with the cooler conditions this week. Gemipicorn I think Iceland will be the best place to go quite soon, I may buy myself a ticket if what I have just seen actually occurs. I dread to think what the Daily Express will put on the front page this time if they thought last Friday and Saturday was going to be hot.
Reply ID 75701
quote:Now you are begining to frighten me. [:0] I would ask for more details but I think I'd rather not know. [V]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Could they be a MAJOR prolonged heatwave on the way soon? I bet you wouldn't think so with the cooler conditions this week. Gemipicorn I think Iceland will be the best place to go quite soon, I may buy myself a ticket if what I have just seen actually occurs. I dread to think what the Daily Express will put on the front page this time if they thought last Friday and Saturday was going to be hot.
Reply ID 75720
Its not my intentions to frighten you, dont worry lol. Monday will be very warm and dry with the temperature around 26 - 27 but the following 3 days will be unsettled and cooler with rain showers. From next Friday the temperature will rise and continue rising into the w/e, its just the final details to put into place, how hot will it get cant say for sure atm but like I said it looks very likely we may have a very very hot spell of weather going into the last week of July. Don't panic just yet because the heatwave could be downgraded in the next few days. Just for you Gemipicorn. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGA0JtxIuwQ&feature=related [}:)]
Reply ID 75728
quote:That doesn't sound as bad as I thought then (hopefully), I had visions of a forecast of 40+ like the USA had.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Its not my intentions to frighten you, dont worry lol. Monday will be very warm and dry with the temperature around 26 - 27 but the following 3 days will be unsettled and cooler with rain showers. From next Friday the temperature will rise and continue rising into the w/e, its just the final details to put into place, how hot will it get cant say for sure atm but like I said it looks very likely we may have a very very hot spell of weather going into the last week of July. Don't panic just yet because the heatwave could be downgraded in the next few days.
quote:Gee thanks....that's just plain weird! [:D]
Just for you Gemipicorn. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGA0JtxIuwQ&feature=related [}:)]
Reply ID 75803
Any updates Dell Boy?
Reply ID 75804
Hi Dell Boy, I was driving back from Stevenage in a downpour at lunchtime today only to find that the ground was still more or less dry in Hertford. I've noticed the same thing about three times in the last month or so. Coincidece? or has this part of the county always been drier than the bit around Stevenage ?
Reply ID 75805
My other half works in Stevenage and a couple of times he has phoned recently and commented on a downpour and I have looked out the window at sunny clear blue skies!
Reply ID 75806
Heavy downpour in Welwyn around midday today
Reply ID 75809
I think we had 6 spots in Hertford........I counted them!!
Reply ID 75811
Torrential here in St Albans for 1/2 an hour
Reply ID 75813
quote:Updates will be posted on my weather blog in 48 hours.
Originally posted by Eleanor
Any updates Dell Boy?
Reply ID 75815
quote:I was travelling back from Watford this evening and in some areas of Watford it was heavy rain and in other areas in Watford it was dry, this is referred to as localised, forecasters cant pinpoint in metres and provide that sort of information in advance Im afraid. Weather forecasters sometimes say rain in most places or they say localised rain. (Nowcasting) you can see where the heaviest rain is heading on here and you can track its path and zoom into your street in the pro version, but you can still click and zoom over Herford. http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ http://www.raintoday.co.uk/ The darker the colour is the heavier rain. Im unsure if Stevenage has had more rain than us this past year and I wont be able to tell you until I look at the recent statistics in comparison.
Originally posted by dennismoore
Hi Dell Boy, I was driving back from Stevenage in a downpour at lunchtime today only to find that the ground was still more or less dry in Hertford. I've noticed the same thing about three times in the last month or so. Coincidece? or has this part of the county always been drier than the bit around Stevenage ?
Reply ID 75816
quote:Well done Marilyn you can be my eye in the sky.
Originally posted by Marilyn
I think we had 6 spots in Hertford........I counted them!!
Reply ID 75817
Please can you explain why it was necessary to edit a post that was six months old (ie the first post in this thread). This contravenes our Acceptable Use Policy.
Reply ID 75818
"Cause he is a weirdo :-) P
quote:
Originally posted by Admin
Please can you explain why it was necessary to edit a post that was six months old (ie the first post in this thread). This contravenes our Acceptable Use Policy.
Reply ID 75819
quote:Im a weirdo [:D] admin please could you explain why you allow posts of personal insults on your forum?
Originally posted by Paul
"Cause he is a weirdo :-) Pquote:
Originally posted by Admin
Please can you explain why it was necessary to edit a post that was six months old (ie the first post in this thread). This contravenes our Acceptable Use Policy.
Reply ID 75820
quote:Yes Admin I shall explain. I actually changed the title of this thread started by me from 'Weather Forecast' to simply the title 'Weather' a few weeks ago as I thought this was more appropiate because I dont provide a weather forecast but more in the way of medium range conditions most likely expected. Today I changed the title from Weather to Weather (Eye In The Sky) as a light hearted gesture to Marilyn thats all and I didnt see the harm in that I wasnt aware of the policy and no harm was intent. May I request you to delete this thread at my request or lock it because I have taken the decision not to post on this thread again. This thread has nearly 15,000 views and Im sure a lot of members will be dissapointed I have taken this decision. Its such a shame that you allow personal insults to remain on here such as the 1 by Paul to me but take the hard line out on me for modifying the title of the thread.
Originally posted by Admin
Please can you explain why it was necessary to edit a post that was six months old (ie the first post in this thread). This contravenes our Acceptable Use Policy.
Reply ID 75821
Can't believe the request to delete/lock this thread because one poster doesn't want to play any more. It sounds just like schoolkids taking their football home. Ah well, it looks like we will have to add our own forecasts and reports so I'll go first. Localised "toys out of pram" observed falling in emotional outburst. Sound of distant rattles being shaken at PC screen caused by thunderous mood. Unknown whether a calm front and re-appearance will follow. I went to examine historical records for previous occurrences though they appear to regularly change. [:)][;)]
Reply ID 75823
Blimey ! Me thinks some beer has been involved in some of these posts ! Seems a bit of a "storm in a teacup" :)
Reply ID 75824
Please don't stop Dell Boy - this is my favourite thread - and actually useful [:X]
Reply ID 75825
Yeah come on Dell, keep it going, there was an attempt at a [:)] on the end of Paul's post so maybe no malice was intended [;)]
Reply ID 75826
Yes, please keep posting Dell.
Reply ID 75827
Keep going Dell!
Reply ID 75828
I also find these posts very useful Dell Boy and would be dissapointed if you stopped
Reply ID 75829
Mrs H looks on this thread regularly with her fingers crossed that no heatwave is going to make an appearance!
Reply ID 75830
I like this thread to, almost feels like a personalised forcast. Especially at the moment as like Mrs H and others it (I'm guessing Forbes), it is keeping us prepared for any impending heatwaves. Please keep going DB. [:)]
Reply ID 75831
Don't stop Dell! [:D]
Reply ID 75838
Dell Boy, you rebel. Editing your first post and the thread title again this evening. [:p] If you don't post again here then how about updating your weather blog for all the weather watchers? The last update remains early June.
Reply ID 75840
quote:I have not altered my first post in the thread I used the editing option in that post to edit the title of the thread back to 'Weather' I have spoken to Admin via telephone this evening and Admin was made aware of this from me that it was my intentions to alter the thread title back to 'Weather' and not 'Weather Forecast'. The thread title was altered temporary in a good hearted gesture for Marilyn, I hope she can see the funny side of this the clue is in my post. I also explained why I made the change 'weather & the eye in the sky' Admin may have missed the post in the thread. I would still like Paul to explain to me via e mail why he called me a weirdo, ok a smiley was posted but if Paul said that to me smiley to smiley the smile would not be on his face for long. [:D] [;)] Woody I find your weather forecast rather funny and very inaccurate just like you say my last blog was early June.http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast when it was not. [:p] I will update my weather blog within 48 hours, no heatwave next week on this scale yet. http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/weatherforecast
Originally posted by Woody
Dell Boy, you rebel. Editing your first post and the thread title again this evening. [:p] If you don't post again here then how about updating your weather blog for all the weather watchers? The last update remains early June.
Reply ID 75842
Welcome back Dell Boy [8D] I look forward to your updated blog so I know whether or not to get the swimming pool cleaned.
Reply ID 75848
Welcome back Dell Boy yes I thought it was funn.......... plus I was wrong we had more than 6 spots..............
Reply ID 75854
quote:Im so glad you thought it was fun......., I was going to change the title of the thread back to Weather soon afterwards, yes there was a little more rain not long after your post.
Originally posted by Marilyn
Welcome back Dell Boy yes I thought it was funn.......... plus I was wrong we had more than 6 spots..............
Reply ID 75857
Good to see you back Dell [:)][:)][:)][:)]
Reply ID 75878
Blog updated. http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog Dont forget to click on my Homepage and About Me page [:D]
Reply ID 75880
Like the blog update, Dell Boy. I'm surprised you haven't changed this thread title to Weirdo Weather from the Weather Weirdo, or similar. [:D]
Reply ID 75897
Good to see you still posting DB Phew! So we could have had high 30s [xx(] I'm so glad it didn't come to that! I am even more appreciative of the more comfortable weather we have at the moment now [:D]
Reply ID 75900
Yes Moscow got our said heatwave with temperatures over 100 degrees.. Wow. http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/58 [:0]
Reply ID 75903
So what's the outlook for Rock At The Castle on Sunday?
Reply ID 75904
Oooh, err, hmm? its not looking good at the moment http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/forecast/4176? Look at Saturday it looks like rain and the B.B.C. are saying it will be more of the same on Sunday aswell. I will update around Thursday when Im expecting the weather to change in Hertford. Looks like a bit of rain heading over us tomorrow aswell, probably a lot more than 6 spots. :- )
Reply ID 75917
quote:Right again! we've had at least 10! [:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Looks like a bit of rain heading over us tomorrow aswell, probably a lot more than 6 spots. :- )
Reply ID 75918
quote:Yet again Hertford escapes the heavier rain from the North and East to us [;)] However there is another band of rain moving East towards us for later tonight I wonder if Hertford can escape that 1?
Originally posted by gemipicornquote:Right again! we've had at least 10! [:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Looks like a bit of rain heading over us tomorrow aswell, probably a lot more than 6 spots. :- )
Reply ID 75919
quote:I hope we don't escape, we really need it. Mr G has stopped cutting grass it's so dry. One of our neighbours commented on quite how dry everything was and said he "Never thought he would be wishing for rain over here", he is from New Zealand!
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:Yet again Hertford escapes the heavier rain from the North and East to us [;)] However there is another band of rain moving East towards us for later tonight I wonder if Hertford can escape that 1?
Originally posted by gemipicornquote:Right again! we've had at least 10! [:D]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Looks like a bit of rain heading over us tomorrow aswell, probably a lot more than 6 spots. :- )
Reply ID 75920
I mentioned this a few months ago that we could have a dry summer here in the South East, the next couple of days should be a lot brighter and feel fresher, we have a warm front trapped in what weather forecasters call a dirty high. Even parts of Iceland are experiencing high temperatures but the heat is very tantalizing close to us (for heat lovers) and it wont take much to shift it over to us.
Reply ID 75930
I havent mowed my lawn in a month.....Just 5 mins of hard rain needed...plssssssssss
Reply ID 76035
Weather updated for the coming week and looking ahead. http://sites.google.com/site/accuraweather/weather-blog/forecast20810 When are we going to get some decent rainfall?
Reply ID 76042
My garden and I would like lots and lots of rain, apart from Sunday when we want the sun to shine on The Folly @ The Folly. We don't even mind clearing up in the rain on Monday morning.
Reply ID 76067
quote:Rain. Rain. Rain. Rain. Rain. RAIN Big stuff! Loads of it...........but then most of you already know.....unless you're reading this from elsewhere.
Originally posted by CSP
My garden and I would like lots and lots of rain, apart from Sunday when we want the sun to shine on The Folly @ The Folly. We don't even mind clearing up in the rain on Monday morning.
Reply ID 76068
Well I did hint in my last post above, be prepared was the advice on my weather blog. Im so glad of the rain it looks like we could see a bit more of this on Friday and possibly into the weekend but more showery then with sunshine between them. Floods, Floods, Floods, do I hear? [;)]
Reply ID 76070
Hertford North under water yet?
Reply ID 76071
I have to say, I'm a very happy bunny at the moment! [:D]
Reply ID 76072
quote:It was fully submerged at 2.30pm. Big, white vans (driven by waterproofed morons) driving through fast, without regard to other road users or pedestrians. Smaller cars and more considerate drivers taking their time to alternate through the middle. I'm sure my lawn is looking gratefully greener by the second this afternoon.
Originally posted by carlos fandango
Hertford North under water yet?
Reply ID 76073
Oh joy. I arranged weeks ago to visit a friend on the south coast at the end of this week. Since then we've had lots of lovely weather. Now it's time for me to head south and what happens. [:(!]
Reply ID 76074
quote:Perhaps you're better off on the South coast than in Hertford.
Originally posted by Steve
Oh joy. I arranged weeks ago to visit a friend on the south coast at the end of this week. Since then we've had lots of lovely weather. Now it's time for me to head south and what happens. [:(!]
Reply ID 76434
No word from Dell Boy about this huge storm?
Reply ID 76568
Just seen on tv that we might be in for a bit of windy and stormy weather this week. Dell Boy?
Reply ID 77107
With winter now fast approaching the weather suddenly becomes important to most people, are we going to have a repeat of last winters extreme cold and snow? From Friday and the weekend it's looking good with temperatures reaching the dizzy high's of 24 degrees by day and sunny periods. It will feel more like early summer again however in around a weeks time it will feel more like winter and we could well see the first snowfalls of this autumn/winter. All the signs are showing that we could have another very cold winter so be prepared. Edit: Thankyou Steve, at least Im correct in saying the weekend is Friday and Saturday with Sunday being the first day of the week. [:)]
Reply ID 77110
quote:Winter starts in December. October is Autumn. [:)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
...however in around a weeks time Winter arrives and we could well see the first snowfalls of this Winter.
Reply ID 77117
quote:I think Dell Boy means that winter weather arrives, not chronological winter.
Originally posted by Stevequote:Winter starts in December. October is Autumn. [:)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
...however in around a weeks time Winter arrives and we could well see the first snowfalls of this Winter.
Reply ID 77120
I always remeber a Japanese lady I worked with saying this was the only country you had all four seasons in one day!
Reply ID 77122
quote:As you know Steve where I come from its bloody winter for 12 months of the year. [:D] [:D]
Originally posted by Stevequote:Winter starts in December. October is Autumn. [:)]
Originally posted by Dell Boy
...however in around a weeks time Winter arrives and we could well see the first snowfalls of this Winter.
Reply ID 77201
Nice day today. So, Dell Boy. What weather are we to expect this week?
Reply ID 77203
From Tuesday it will turn a lot colder and possible night frosts, by the middle of the month Northern Britain may have some snow showers but here I don't think so just yet.
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My Holly and Pyrochanthia (spelling?) have got huge numbers of berries on them this year. Does this mean it's going to be a hard winter, Dell Boy - or is that just superstitious rubbish?
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I noticed that hem lines are slightly higher this autumn when I was walking home through Parliament Square on Saturday night, (not that I was taking that much notice). Surely a sign of a mild winter?
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quote:Take no notice of The Daily Mail [;)] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1321288/Wrap-warm-Early-winter-snow-forecast-Britain-Tuesday-onwards.html
Originally posted by Dell Boy
From Tuesday it will turn a lot colder and possible night frosts, by the middle of the month Northern Britain may have some snow showers but here I don't think so just yet.
Reply ID 77324
quote:I never do
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Take no notice of The Daily Mail [;)] http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1321288/Wrap-warm-Early-winter-snow-forecast-Britain-Tuesday-onwards.html
Reply ID 77333
Haven’t bothered to check the link but I presume the anticipated appalling weather is the fault of both the last Government & asylum seekers, & will lead to a fall in your house value....
Reply ID 78432
quote:I will be updating this thread soon, White Christmas I wonder? [:D] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mW-6qyOX4iw&feature=player_embedded A more detailed weather forecast for Herford in the next 24 hours.
Originally posted by Dell Boy
With winter now fast approaching the weather suddenly becomes important to most people, are we going to have a repeat of last winters extreme cold and snow? From Friday and the weekend it's looking good with temperatures reaching the dizzy high's of 24 degrees by day and sunny periods. It will feel more like early summer again however in around a weeks time it will feel more like winter and we could well see the first snowfalls of this autumn/winter. All the signs are showing that we could have another very cold winter so be prepared. Edit: Thankyou Steve, at least Im correct in saying the weekend is Friday and Saturday with Sunday being the first day of the week. [:)]
Reply ID 78437
As many of you have seen the B.B.C. are pedicting snow for our Region later this evening... It looks like the band of snow will take the same track as Saturdays snow... It wont reach us until around 8-9 p.m. at its present rate... If you have a jorney from London I would advise a early getaway as the snow will hit during rush hour... As it hits us I dont think it will be heavy snow but it could still be around 2 to 4 cm settling... Take care on the roads... Wednesday looks like it could be a marginal event with rain for us... However this does not mean that milder weather will return its a low that will undrcut the cold pressure system and temperatures may not be cold enough for snow... But this is a everchanging situation.
Reply ID 78496
It's arrived very light snow it won't amount to much, sorry I was an hour out this band of snow has been very slow moving and difficuilt to track.
Reply ID 78498
Update: We could possibly see a few more cms from the band that is forming in the channel atm during the early hours be prepared. Oh dear Wednesday looks like another white out very heavy snow, as I mentioned on the snow thread the 22nd was always going to be a threat.
Reply ID 78507
Thanx DB, you may get a bit of undeserved stick, but your posts are invaluable...
Reply ID 78508
I love all this weather talk. May I just hark back to hemlines.. I raised mine, but added woollen tights, thick outdoor socks and boots to the equation!!! Yep, its a load of old phooey about hemlines high meaning it will be a mild winter us girlies, if we so feel just show the legs for the sake of it.. I also have a superb line of bright pink, purple and other colour outdoor horseriding socks which do the trick for the toes [:D]
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Just wondering if anyone has ventured up the A10 to Cambridge since the snow? Is it easily drivable?
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quote:I'm still in shorts.
Originally posted by Drama Queen
I love all this weather talk. May I just hark back to hemlines.. I raised mine, but added woollen tights, thick outdoor socks and boots to the equation!!! Yep, its a load of old phooey about hemlines high meaning it will be a mild winter us girlies, if we so feel just show the legs for the sake of it.. I also have a superb line of bright pink, purple and other colour outdoor horseriding socks which do the trick for the toes [:D]
Reply ID 78516
It looks like the heavy snow is to the North of us, the Met.Office are unsure of the track, as the band of snow heads over to East Anglia it still may give us some snow so be aware in the morning especialy if you are travelling North. [;)]
Reply ID 78517
quote:I drove up there today. Yes, easily passable.
Originally posted by Jo S
Just wondering if anyone has ventured up the A10 to Cambridge since the snow? Is it easily drivable?
Reply ID 78518
quote:Since the last snow but Met. Office issued this. East of England: Cambridgeshire Heavy Snow 0500 Wed 22 1500 Wed 22 Outbreaks of snow are likely to become heavier for a time today, bringing accumulations of up to 5 to 10cm in places. The public are advised to take extra care and refer to the Highways Agency for further advice regarding traffic disruption on motorways and trunk roads. Issued at: 0232 Wed 22 Dec
Originally posted by bradmanquote:I drove up there today. Yes, easily passable.
Originally posted by Jo S
Just wondering if anyone has ventured up the A10 to Cambridge since the snow? Is it easily drivable?
Reply ID 78584
Get ready again: next week/year: Becoming very cold again and possible snow.
Reply ID 79354
It's not been too bad weather recently but that may change as from the coming weekend and into next week. It looks like very cold temperatures again and a biting Easterly wind. Snow?
Reply ID 79357
doh. no chance of an early spring then? us gardeners had better hold back a bit? tomorrow looks lovely though, no wind, clear skys, bah to being at work :(
Reply ID 79360
Well some of my sping flowers will get a shock, mini iris, polyanthus etc all starting to flower I really though spring was coming...............
Reply ID 79364
Winter always throws in a surprise just when we think the worst is over. It may not be as bad as December but don't be surprised at another very cold blast. The very cold is to the West and East of the UK with the Atlantic milder air over us atm which 1 wins the battle we have to wait and see, atm the main weather model runs are showing signs that the cold from the East will win. I will keep you updated with details closer to the time.
Reply ID 79393
quote:...problems with your r's, Marilyn?[:)]
Originally posted by Marilyn
Well some of my sping flowers will get a shock, mini iris, polyanthus etc all starting to flower I really though sping was coming...............
Reply ID 79398
all better now............
Reply ID 79585
Will it be very cold or mild? This video explains a little more detail from my post on the the 7th and 8th of this month. A very confusing weather outlook because the massive solar flare is also causing a lot of concern for the meteorologists. Could it influence a shift in the extreme cold over Britain, we have to wait and see so don't store away the sledges just yet. http://news.bbc.co.uk/weather/hi/news/newsid_9401000/9401269.stm
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Weather Warning: Keep the Easter eggs in the fridge this coming Easter weekend.
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quote:Why is that a warning?? Surely warm weather will be appreciated!
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Weather Warning: Keep the Easter eggs in the fridge this coming Easter weekend.
Reply ID 80739
quote:Ok sorry I did not include the potential for Thunderstorms during the Easter weekend. [:I]
Originally posted by Firedupinsidequote:Why is that a warning?? Surely warm weather will be appreciated!
Originally posted by Dell Boy
Weather Warning: Keep the Easter eggs in the fridge this coming Easter weekend.
Reply ID 80838
Dell-Boy - great prediction, but it is too hot. [:)] Waiting for the thunderstorms now [:)] The showers have started in London and thunder to boot[:0]
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The weather outlook looks like we could be heading for a major heatwave beginning in around 10 days... Phew. Heat sufferers be prepared.
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Sorry just ignore my last post... http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/3582975/Brits-set-for-two-week-heatwave.html
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I used to keep up with your blog, Dell Boy. It's a shame you stopped updating it.
Reply ID 81258
Now we know where Dell Boy gets his predictions from!
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quote:Me too ... come on DB - get those forecasts updated again, please! (or maybe you can have your own topic here...) *J* [IMG]http://www.millan.net/minimations/smileys/weathermanf2.gif[/IMG]
Originally posted by Ewoowar
I used to keep up with your blog, Dell Boy. It's a shame you stopped updating it.
Reply ID 81366
quote:No I get my weather predictions from here [;)] http://www.dailyexpress.co.uk/posts/view/247955 Wednesday looks like it is the start of the warming up as I said in my post on the 14th May we may have a cooling off period before the very HOT weather arrives just in time for the Bank Holiday hopefully. [8D]
Originally posted by Robbo
Now we know where Dell Boy gets his predictions from!
Reply ID 81457
The Bank Holiday Monday weather looks disappointing we may see some heavy rain however we could do with the rainfall. From Wednesday onwards the weather will improve the cloud cover and wind will decrease gradually giving way to hot sunny weather, temperatures rising up to 26-28 degrees next weekend.
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Oh dear, make the most of the next couple of days because it is not looking good for next week.
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Flaming June? Who mentioned drought!!
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quote:No 1 on this forum this year [?] I wonder when the weather is going to improve, next weekend perhaps [:D] [;)]
Originally posted by Golden
Flaming June? Who mentioned drought!!
Reply ID 81855
quote:Saturday - a very muggy day, Sunday - hot and sunny [:)] EDIT: Very high risk of serious thunderstorms with storm damage expected during Monday evening into Tuesday day, advised to check out the weather details for early warnings. [:(]
Originally posted by Dell Boyquote:No 1 on this forum this year [?] I wonder when the weather is going to improve, next weekend perhaps [:D] [;)]
Originally posted by Golden
Flaming June? Who mentioned drought!!
Reply ID 81866
Storm damage?
Reply ID 81875
quote:http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/what-is-a-spanish-plume/ Often resulting in storm damage, floods, wind damage etc. http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/what-is-a-spanish-plume/ I Hope this helps. This is the STORM I am mentioning http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/what-is-a-spanish-plume/ different types of Thunderstorms http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/what-is-a-spanish-plume/ and check this out http://metofficenews.wordpress.com/2011/05/05/what-is-a-spanish-plume/ [;)]
Originally posted by Ewoowar
Storm damage?
Reply ID 81876
Not a Joplin then. Phew.
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quote:Erm no I dont think so not like this http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-13497489 [}:)]
Originally posted by Ewoowar
Not a Joplin then. Phew.
Reply ID 81897
The Met. Office have warnings for storms I have never known them to issue warnings so far in advance, (as my edited post on the 23rd June) will it all just be a storm in a teacup? Issued at - 25 Jun 2011, 11:27 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html [:0]
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If you think it is hot here today, just got an email from a friend Robbo (not the robbo on this forum) who lives near Bordeaux, France yesterday was 42 degrees and today is already 38 and rising. Too Hot.[:I][:I]
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quote:Storm in a teacup? Typhoo (n) ?
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The Met. Office have warnings for storms I have never known them to issue warnings so far in advance, (as my edited post on the 23rd June) will it all just be a storm in a teacup? Issued at - 25 Jun 2011, 11:27 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html [:0]
Reply ID 81942
After today's thunderstorms it's a lot cooler, maybe another heatwave not too far away? [;)] PHEW this was close. http://www.hertsad.co.uk/news/lightning_strikes_london_colney_homes_1_944842 http://www.hertsad.co.uk/news/lightning_strikes_london_colney_homes_1_944842 http://www.hertsad.co.uk/news/lightning_strikes_london_colney_homes_1_944842 http://www.hertsad.co.uk/news/lightning_strikes_london_colney_homes_1_944842 EDIT: Very high risk of serious thunderstorms with storm damage expected during Monday evening into Tuesday day, advised to check out the weather details for early warnings. Edited by - Dell Boy on 23 Jun 2011 14:41:32 That's the threat of storm damage I was afraid of Ewoowar sorry I was a few miles out [:(] But at least we didn't get the hail http://www.hertsad.co.uk/news/lightning_strikes_london_colney_homes_1_944842 [:p]
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quote:Not for some I'm afraid [:(] According to local radio, London fire Brigade has been placed on standby to provide cover for Hertfordshire Fire Service due to the high amount of lightning strikes in Hertfordshire, as a result the Fire Service being so busy. Edit. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html
Originally posted by Artyquote:Storm in a teacup? Typhoo (n) ?
Originally posted by Dell Boy
The Met. Office have warnings for storms I have never known them to issue warnings so far in advance, (as my edited post on the 23rd June) will it all just be a storm in a teacup? Issued at - 25 Jun 2011, 11:27 http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/se/se_forecast_warnings.html [:0]
Reply ID 81952
Has anyone else got dodgy TV reception since the storms?
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quote:Digital or analogue? Terrestrial or satellite?
Originally posted by ladywood
Has anyone else got dodgy TV reception since the storms?
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Analogue - terrestrial
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quote:Our TV seems ok but I know Bengeo School lost their phone lines
Originally posted by Stevequote:Digital or analogue? Terrestrial or satellite?
Originally posted by ladywood
Has anyone else got dodgy TV reception since the storms?
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quote:Sorry, don't watch TV. Had a couple of light flickers though even after the main storm finished.
Originally posted by ladywood
Has anyone else got dodgy TV reception since the storms?
Reply ID 81960
quote:No but some people would have had a dodgy flight. [:D] A spokeswoman for National Air Traffic Services (Nats) said: "One part of the system was knocked out for about 10 minutes. "The lightning had a minor effect but the main reason for the delays was the thunderstorms which the pilots want to fly round rather than through." http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-sussex-13947288
Originally posted by ladywood
Has anyone else got dodgy TV reception since the storms?
Reply ID 82016
Weather for the weekend warm and sunny. Turning very warm on Monday and Tuesday next week and then a breakdown to thunderstorms later in the week. I will update information from the threat of the thunderstorms in due course however at this very early stage of developments the thunderstorms not as severe as Tuesday.
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Get ready for your SUMMER holidays, very nice weather on the way at last, from next Tuesday it looks like a very decent prolonged spell of warm to very warm sunny weather coming up.
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Woohoo!
Reply ID 82266
But what about that "dodgy television reception"? Some of the shows I'm getting are still very dodgy. When will the conditions be right to block the imbecile, Hammond, from failing to make geology interesting or informative? I've tried it on digital and analogue and he's just as patronising.
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Unfortunately the forecast is for prolonged Hammond with frequent outbreaks of squally Clarksons well into the autumn.
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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2035394/Hurricane-Katia-hit-parts-Britain-Tuesday.html
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Having spent six weeks in Glasgow so far this year I can assure you that the pictures on that link are representative of normal conditions in the city.
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What Hurricane! don't worry but you better phone the B.B.C. just in case and ask them if its on track to hit Hertford? [:D]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uqs1YXfdtGE
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The nights are getting darker as Autumn sets in and the days are turning hotter oh dont you just love Autumn? ;)
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Be prepared for the 1st blast of severe cold and snow, I will keep the thread updated in the next few days.
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Ok 1 of the model runs is picking up on a very cold Northerly towards the end of the month this has been showing up in every run. If this was to develop into a Northerly blast it may bring us sleet or even snow showers but it will be short lived 2 or 3 days perhaps a little longer. In the meantime this week it will feel quite mild during breaks in the cloud when the sun appears, we may see a few showers by midweek but temperatures will remain above average. As for the model that is showing the Northerly well this model has been 1 of the more consistent and accurate models in recent months and I reckon the other models will pick up on the Northerly in the coming days. So a general change to milder weather and then perhaps a very cold feel towards the end of the month. Updates to follow. Edit: I think its worth mentioning that we are seeing a similar pattern emerging as was seen during the last 2 Autumns and Winters. [?]
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Cheers Dell Boy; you put a lot into this thread.. thanx - even when the news is not so welcome!
Reply ID 84651
SNOW rumours.... I'm hearing lots of reports that people are predicting snow in the next few days. Any idea, Dell Boy? It might sound far fetched but this time last year........[?]
Reply ID 84652
quote:The forecast snow is for the Highlands of Scotland. Unfortunately, some daily "newspapers" tend to sensationalise with misleading headlines and it's only when you get to the detail at the end that you get to the truth. I would suggest consulting the weather forecast rather than tabloid headlines and the gossip they generate. [:)] http://www.hertford.net/weather.asp
Originally posted by newgirl
SNOW rumours.... I'm hearing lots of reports that people are predicting snow in the next few days. Any idea, Dell Boy? It might sound far fetched but this time last year........[?]
Reply ID 84653
I'm consulting Dell Boy, does that count??? [:D]
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From what I can see, from some very reliable long range weather forcasters, is for it to get a lot colder at the end of November, with the possibility of widespread snow from the middle of December, and January and February being very wintery.[:)]
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quote:Doesn't that happen every year? :P
Originally posted by Biker biker
From what I can see, from some very reliable long range weather forcasters, is for it to get a lot colder at the end of November, with the possibility of widespread snow from the middle of December, and January and February being very wintery.[:)]
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